According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on November 18, Bitget held a VIP sharing session themed “Grasping the Pulse of Q4: From Macro Trends to Real Strategies.” In this sharing, Aaron, a representative from the Bitget Research Institute, pointed out that the current base interest rate remains in the range of 3.75%-4%, and the Fed is at a critical crossroads in its interest rate reduction path. Stopping the balance sheet reduction in December and possibly implementing further relief policies will become important variables driving macro liquidity. In addition, the overall trading volume in the market has significantly declined recently, while the market capitalization of stablecoins has rapidly increased in the past three months, reflecting a mismatch in the supply and demand relationship of crypto assets, which may indicate that the market is about to welcome a phase of buying the dip opportunities.
Guest “Bitcoin Subgame” believes that the macro trend in Q4 mainly depends on whether the Fed continues to cut interest rates, and there is still uncertainty in the current judgment. The general direction in Q4 is still mainly focused on fluctuations and bottoming out, with the anonymous sector and assets with ETF catalysts having more opportunities; most mainstream assets will fluctuate with the BTC trend, and altcoin opportunities are limited.
The guest “Brother Tiezhu in CRYPTO” pointed out that liquidity remains a core factor affecting the encryption market. Currently, we are in a data vacuum period, with capital contraction and uncertain macro trends being the main reasons for market weakness. He believes that the next round of rebound will come from a turning point in macro expectations. At this stage, it is more suitable to adopt a strategy that prioritizes safety margins and seeks progress while maintaining stability.
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