Author: X@tmel0211
Seeing too many people Fomo into Perp Dex, after sobering up, I want to share some thoughts that feel somewhat “incongruous” with the market's prosperity. The following only represents my personal understanding:
So everyone wants to imitate Hyperliquid, CEXs are imitating out of panic, other Perp Dex protocols are imitating out of envy, and KOLs are FOMOing because they are afraid of missing the next $HYPE.
The operational logic is very simple: in the early stage, attract LPs and large investors to inject capital; in the mid-stage, create FOMO through point brushing and airdrops; and in the later stage, lock in traffic with low fees and business rebate logic. Throughout the process, the technical narrative serves more as a packaging role, while the entire “operational flywheel” is the real skill.
@Lighter_xyz, Aster, and Sunperp, these trendy newcomers are similar; they first create hype using “black box technology,” attract attention with impressive data, and then rely on points/airdrops to lock in traffic.
For example, Lighter's ZK-SNARK proof currently verifies each transaction in a closed-source black box, who knows the truth; Aster's ZK optimization + multi-chain + MEV-resistant hidden orders are still in the Roadmap stage, only driven by @cz_binance's calls, I won't comment on Sunperp, everyone understands.
Imagine that @dYdX has been stuck in compliance issues with governance tokens not providing dividends after transitioning from layer 1 to layer 2 and then to an independent chain for so long, while @GMX_IO is blocked from expanding due to high slippage in AMM.
It can be considered that the rationalist Builders with technology have all been constrained, while the newcomers who talk about concepts and manipulate operational data have become the new hope. In other words, if this wave of new forces in Perp Dex completely gains the upper hand, it will be tantamount to declaring a total defeat for the DeFi version of Perp Dex.
But the problem is that this set of positive growth flywheel of “Trading Volume - Fees - Buyback - Token Appreciation” has only been successfully run by Hyperliquid. How many other new anti-arbitrage projects can be fully validated by the market? If they cannot distinguish themselves from the previous wave that created CEX and then Rug pulled, can retail investors in the current market withstand the large-scale harvesting?