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$ETH 4/12 Precise Midday Analysis of the Double Bottom | Sharp Rise and Fall, Break of 2233, Range Volatility, Key Level Decision, Right-side Trend Following 📊
Main Direction
Ethereum breaks above 2272 previous high, then pulls back sharply, directly breaking below the key support at 2233, entering range consolidation;
2233 is the dividing line between bulls and bears. Reclaiming it may lead to another surge to 2272; sustained movement below targets 2195→2173 at the lower boundary of the range.
If the range is lost, watch for strong support at 2158. If not broken, the trend remains; breaking below ends the hourly bullish structure;
Breaking 2203 on the 4-hour chart targets 2157→2112, follow the trend on the right side, operate with light positions, and avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
✅ Long-side entries (main strategy)
• Entry 1: Break above 2235 with increased volume, stabilize and close above, chase longs on the right side
• Entry 2: Support at 2158 stabilizes, signs of stopping decline, retest for long entry
• Target: 2275→2329 (look for hourly stabilization above 2235 in this range)
• Stop loss: Chase longs at 2235→ close and recover if broken at 2206; retest support at 2158 for long→ 2127; long at 2087→ 2053
✅ Short-side entries (supplementary strategy, very light positions)
• Entry 1: Near 2275, price stalls and cannot break previous high, lightly short at high
• Entry 2: Break below 2206 with volume, rebound lacks strength, chase shorts on the right side
• Target: 2195→2173→2158
• Stop loss: Short at 2275→ close and recover at 2316; short at 2206→ recover at 2235 after stabilization
🔍 Technical Logic
1. Pattern Structure (Core)
Sharp rise and fall, break of 2233 neckline, bullish momentum weakens, entering range consolidation (2173–2272)
Bull-bear dividing line: 2233 (above is strong, below is weak)
Lower boundary of range: 2173; strong support: 2158 (break leads to deep correction)
Hourly level: stabilize above 2235→ look up to 2275–2329
4-hour level: break below 2203→ look down to 2157–2112
2. Volume and Risk
Breakouts/breakdowns must be accompanied by volume; shrinking volume indicates false breakouts or trap shakes
Limited space for chasing shorts; strong support at 2158. Blind shorting is risky and may lead to being trapped
Effective break below 2158→ hourly bullish structure invalidates, targets 2112→2087 downward
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