Bitcoin withstands bearish pressure – defensive mechanisms surprise the market

Bitcoin in recent days has been exhibiting a markedly different behavior than during previous bear cycles. Instead of a sharp crash, the price is systematically defending key levels, and around the $90,000 USD threshold, we observe surprising stability. As of today’s close, Bitcoin is trading at $91.21K with a change of -2.01% over the past 24 hours – indicating it remains in an overbought zone, but without subsequent breakdown.

What is the difference compared to previous bear markets?

Comparing the current scenario to the historical bear cycles of 2014, 2018, and 2022, a clear change emerges. During those periods, when Bitcoin fell below the 100-week moving averages, dramatic sell-offs of 40–55% occurred within just a few weeks.

This time, the situation looks different. The recent weekly close in 2025 showed that the market is strongly refusing to repeat the historical scenario. The formation of a “bear cross” (bear cross) did not trigger a panic sell-off. Instead, we see systematic accumulation of capital around key support levels – a phenomenon that never occurred in previous cycles.

The lack of selling pressure suggests that hidden demand remains significantly stronger than supply. This does not mean that a bull market has begun, but it definitely indicates the nullification of one of the most serious media warnings about a bear market.

Short-term outlook and potential scenarios

Bear scenario: For a 40% decline to occur, Bitcoin would need to consecutively break below several support levels. This requires both breaking below the 100-week moving averages on a weekly close and stabilizing the price in older demand zones. Currently, none of these conditions are met – greatly reducing the likelihood of this scenario.

Momentum indicators and current tensions: On the four-hour chart, a symmetrical triangle pattern is visible. A breakout above this level pushed the price to around $90,500 USD, simultaneously activating overbought zones on RSI and Stochastic RSI. This indicates that short-term tension is high – a move below $90,000 USD in the upcoming sessions is possible.

Potential support zones: The area around $89,500 USD emerges as the first significant demand level where buyers may appear. However, if the price remains above the previous descending trendline of the triangle and above the $90,500 USD line, the scene is set for a move toward $93,000–$93,650 USD. Such a development would confirm a strengthened technical structure for entering 2026.

The current consolidation shows that the market has the capacity to absorb volatility rather than panic – a trait absent in previous bear cycles.