Crypto strategists at Fundstrat, led by Sean Farrell, Head of Crypto Strategy, have outlined a distinctive market forecast for 2026 in their latest outlook report. The analysis suggests that despite long-term bullish fundamentals and anticipated liquidity injections throughout the year, investors should prepare for a notable correction in the opening months—specifically targeting Bitcoin in the $60,000-$65,000 range.
Predicted Price Corrections: Near-Term vs. Year-End Targets
According to Farrell’s baseline assessment, the first and second quarters of 2026 present a window for significant price adjustments across major cryptocurrencies. The predicted corridors include:
Bitcoin: Could test the $60,000-$65,000 zone, though year-end projections suggest recovery to approximately $115,000
Ethereum: Anticipated to move toward $1,800-$2,000 levels, with potential recovery to $4,500 by year-end
Solana (SOL): May experience pullback to the $50-$75 range
These price levels, according to the strategist, would create compelling accumulation opportunities for investors positioning ahead of stronger performance expected in the latter half of 2026.
Strategic Rationale: Why the Caution?
Farrell emphasizes that managing downside risk in early 2026 remains prudent, even with constructive long-term crypto market conditions. The strategist suggests maintaining a defensive posture until technical confirmation signals emerge that validate a sustainable uptrend—particularly if initial price targets are not realized.
Ethereum’s Relative Strength Thesis
A distinctive element of Fundstrat’s outlook centers on Ethereum’s structural advantages over the broader market. The analysis highlights that ETH will demonstrate enhanced relative performance due to several favorable factors:
Absence of ongoing miner selling pressure that historically weighed on Bitcoin
Insulation from macro factors tied to major corporate Bitcoin holdings (MSTR dynamics)
Reduced exposure to quantum computing risk concerns that have gained attention in crypto circles
This structural advantage, Farrell suggests, justifies Ethereum’s projected outperformance and the potential for ETH to reach $4,500 by year-end—a trajectory reflecting both recovery from the anticipated correction and sustained relative strength within the crypto ecosystem.
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2026 Crypto Market Pullback: Fundstrat Strategist Flags Potential Bitcoin Drop to $60K-$65K Range
Crypto strategists at Fundstrat, led by Sean Farrell, Head of Crypto Strategy, have outlined a distinctive market forecast for 2026 in their latest outlook report. The analysis suggests that despite long-term bullish fundamentals and anticipated liquidity injections throughout the year, investors should prepare for a notable correction in the opening months—specifically targeting Bitcoin in the $60,000-$65,000 range.
Predicted Price Corrections: Near-Term vs. Year-End Targets
According to Farrell’s baseline assessment, the first and second quarters of 2026 present a window for significant price adjustments across major cryptocurrencies. The predicted corridors include:
These price levels, according to the strategist, would create compelling accumulation opportunities for investors positioning ahead of stronger performance expected in the latter half of 2026.
Strategic Rationale: Why the Caution?
Farrell emphasizes that managing downside risk in early 2026 remains prudent, even with constructive long-term crypto market conditions. The strategist suggests maintaining a defensive posture until technical confirmation signals emerge that validate a sustainable uptrend—particularly if initial price targets are not realized.
Ethereum’s Relative Strength Thesis
A distinctive element of Fundstrat’s outlook centers on Ethereum’s structural advantages over the broader market. The analysis highlights that ETH will demonstrate enhanced relative performance due to several favorable factors:
This structural advantage, Farrell suggests, justifies Ethereum’s projected outperformance and the potential for ETH to reach $4,500 by year-end—a trajectory reflecting both recovery from the anticipated correction and sustained relative strength within the crypto ecosystem.