#比特币价格趋势 Just saw the data from Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin dropping below 80,000 in December is only 16%, which means the market is still bullish. A 5% chance of dropping below 75,000 is even more outrageous, as almost everyone bets it won't crash. Conversely, the probability of breaking above 100,000 is only 5%, which is a bit awkward.

It feels like the current market sentiment is—Bitcoin will fluctuate between 80,000 and 100,000, and no one dares to be particularly aggressive. The veteran players in the crypto circle are probably stuck at this level now; the bears don't have the courage to short, and the bulls don't dare to buy aggressively. We'll just have to see if any black swan events will break this deadlock.