On Monday's open, Bitcoin surged rapidly past 93,000, seemingly ready to break through the previous consolidation range. However, this quick rise may not necessarily be a good sign.



Historically, sharp increases at market open often indicate brewing risks. Especially now, with global instability—frequent policy changes in the US, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and ongoing international tensions—uncertainty is high. This directly impacts the crypto market, causing capital flows to become highly volatile. Coupled with Federal Reserve personnel changes, upcoming non-farm payroll data, and fluctuating rate hike expectations, the market is likely to experience wide-ranging fluctuations this week, with intense battles between bulls and bears.

The key issue is that when global risk aversion rises, funds typically flow into traditional safe-haven assets, and the crypto market may face selling pressure—this is a market old rule. Therefore, Bitcoin's sudden surge this morning seems more like a trap created by major players exploiting news to induce a bullish trap rather than a genuine trend reversal. The oscillating pattern within last week's range has not changed, and chasing high now carries significant risk.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin faces dense resistance above. 93,600 (previous high) and 94,600 are two critical resistance levels. Support levels below are relatively stable, with 90,800 and 89,600 worth watching. My suggestion is to establish short positions in the 93,300-93,600 range, aiming to verify support levels below.

Ethereum generally follows Bitcoin's rhythm, with resistance at 3,260 and support at 3,060. Maintain synchronized trading, be cautious with shorts, and avoid chasing highs.
BTC-0,28%
ETH2,03%
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ContractTestervip
· 01-05 07:36
Here comes the same old trick to cut the leeks... When it hits 93,000, they rush to say it's breaking the range, but maybe it will drop back again this afternoon.
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Layer2Observervip
· 01-05 07:26
Hmm... there are some issues with this logic. Does a sharp rise at the opening necessarily mean a trap? Let's look at the data before jumping to conclusions. It did break through yesterday, but analyzing the on-chain fund flow from the source code perspective, the selling pressure from big players doesn't seem as strong as expected. An interesting finding is that the current bullish position structure is more stable than last week's rebound. However, the risk aversion sentiment you mentioned does need to be considered. Theoretically, before the non-farm payroll data is released, wide-range fluctuations are indeed likely. But here's the question—has this kind of reasoning always been valid in history? Who could accurately predict the wave in 2021? I agree with the 93,600 resistance level; technically, it's quite obvious. But I want to see if the trading volume can effectively break through first. Short position setups are fine, just don't over-leverage. A common misconception is that many people mistake "caution" for "conservatism."
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BearWhisperGodvip
· 01-05 07:25
Another wave of pump-and-dump? I think this opening surge is just to trap the retail investors; the main players are too sneaky.
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FlashLoanPhantomvip
· 01-05 07:23
The main force is trying to deceive retail investors again, opening with a sharp rise—I've seen this trick too many times. It's another bull trap; anyone genuinely trying to chase the high will end up losing. The 93600 level is indeed hard to hit; better to wait until it drops to 90800.
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