2026-01-04 21:28:10

Looking at Ethereum's historical data, an interesting pattern has emerged — whenever ETH shows a red trend in Q4, it often turns green in Q1 of the following year. This is not a new discovery, but it has been repeatedly validated throughout history.

What about the current situation? History is repeating itself. We are witnessing this cyclical pattern unfold once again. What does this mean for holders? Perhaps it's time to re-examine the market's quarterly rhythm and the opportunities Ethereum might face within this special time window.

In short, if this historical pattern continues to hold, the coming days will be crucial. #ETH #Ethereum #CryptoMarkets

ETH1,08%

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Rugman_Walking

· 9h ago

Q4 drops, Q1 rises? I think this wave is a bit uncertain; historical patterns are unpredictable. --- Another seasonal theory; anyway, I don't really believe in this stuff. --- The key question is, can the current macro environment be the same as before... --- Wait, is this guy trying to say it's time to buy the dip? Or is he advising us not to cut losses? --- Quarterly rhythm... sounds like armchair strategizing; when losses actually happen, the patterns don't work anymore. --- I just want to know how many people have actually made money following this pattern. --- Good point, but it always feels like someone is using this to harvest retail investors; the tactics are too textbook.

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TxFailed

· 01-06 00:40

nah this is just survivorship bias dressed up as a pattern... learned this the hard way after losing like 2 ETH chasing "seasonal trends" lol

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BTCWaveRider

· 01-04 21:58

Here comes the Q4 curse again? Every time they say history repeats itself, but what’s the result... --- History patterns sound nice, but how many people actually make money relying on them? --- Wait, are you saying now is the time to buy the dip? Or to run away? --- Quarterly patterns sound very professional, but the market just loves to smash people’s expectations. --- I heard this logic last year, and ETH didn’t follow the usual pattern and just crashed. --- So, should we increase our positions now or be cautious, bro? Don’t keep us in suspense. --- If you treat history as a golden rule, the market will teach you a lesson in the next second. --- Q1 turns green? First, worry about how much blood is left to flow in Q4.

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GateUser-0717ab66

· 01-04 21:56

Stop talking nonsense. The pattern of falling in Q4 and rising in Q1 has been played out long ago. Are historical patterns reliable? I have my doubts. It's another seasonal cycle theory. Could this be just another reason to harvest the chives? Wait, I heard someone mention similar logic before, and the result was a complete loss... Anyway, the mindset for holding positions is to stick to it. Whether you believe in those so-called patterns or not. Just look at this analysis; don't take it too seriously. Will Q1 definitely turn green? Then isn't my Q4 bottoming strategy foolproof?

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MoonWaterDroplets

· 01-04 21:54

Uh, really? Is this pattern reliable? I feel like trading cryptocurrencies is all just gambling. I've heard this kind of repetition too many times. How did it turn out last time when it was said like this? Q1 turns green... Let's see how Q4 closes before making any decisions. I still need to wait a bit longer with the ETH I hold. Quarterly rhythm sounds impressive, but it's really just about betting on probabilities, haha. I'll observe the next few days first. No rush to jump in.

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LiquidatorFlash

· 01-04 21:54

History mode sounds beautiful, but when it comes to liquidation, it's a whole different story. Can Q1 really turn green? Once the collateralization ratio hits the threshold, the drop is faster than expected. Every time, we say the pattern holds, but leveraged positions are pushing against the limit. Wait, is there a chance ETH will break below the key support this time? History may repeat itself, but the liquidation list updates even faster... Data looks good, but risk control is the real hero. So the question is—are you taking a light position or going all-in on this wave? I've heard the story of Q4 red and Q1 green too many times, but the story of bankruptcy only needs to happen once.

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LightningHarvester

· 01-04 21:50

Q4 drops, Q1 rises? Old story, but can it really be replayed this time? I’m a bit nervous. Then just wait and see, after all, it’s not the first time we've been cut. Historical data looks good, but reality often slaps you in the face. Keep going, everyone. Seasonal patterns are just for listening; if you really want to make money from this, you might as well wash up and sleep. Will history repeat itself? Alright, I’ll just see who gets trapped again. That’s what they say, but I’ll still HODL, no way around it. Q1 turns green? Pray, everyone. Who can say for sure?

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FarmHopper

· 01-04 21:46

Haha, this pattern sounds pretty good, but I still have to ask—can history really repeat itself and make money? --- I've heard this quarterly performance theory countless times, but I don't know when I can truly grasp it. --- Wait, if Q4 turns red, Q1 must turn green? This logic is a bit too perfect, it feels like it will always fail. --- Alright then, let's wait and see. Anyway, I'm not watching the market while holding coins. --- This cyclical pattern works well in a bull market, but in a bear market, it's just nonsense. It depends on macro factors. --- Here we go again, every time claiming history repeats, but then a black swan comes and breaks the pattern. --- By the way, if you follow this strategy, how come some people still lose money?

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