#My First Post of 2026

[Today's Intelligence Assessment: Action Framework for Piercing Through the Fog of Long/Short Positions]

Not spreading anxiety, only delivering cognitive systems for combat operations.

Just intercepted six opening "secret cables" - longs and shorts completely at odds:

🔴 Bear Case Fact: BTC briefly broke through 91K.

🔵 The Biggest Mystery: BlackRock withdrew 3,040 BTC + 60K ETH within 8 hours - motives unclear.

🌟 Bull Structure: On-chain chips significantly solidified.

🟠 Sentiment Signal: Community interest fully warming up (Meme, RWA, ETF).

🟣 Event Alert: Solana Mobile token SKR launches January 21.

🌫️ Macro Headwinds: Fed rate-cut expectations cooling again.

【Three-Layer Analysis Framework: Converting Contradictions into a Map】

1️⃣ Hard Facts Layer (Must Respect): Price breakdown is the current state; whale behavior is the highest priority monitoring target.

2️⃣ Soft Data Layer (Research Reserve): On-chain structure and sentiment recovery are mid-term bullish evidence, supporting your "research during downturns."

3️⃣ Events & Macro Layer (Script Deduction): SKR launch is a potential node; macro headwinds are overall constraints.

【Your Three-Step Action Framework: Staying Clear in Chaos】

Guard the Bottom Line: Use BTC's ability to hold 91K as the short-term strength/weakness dividing line - trade above it, observe below it.

Monitor Whales: BlackRock's coin withdrawal flow is the single highest-priority intel source for judging market core intent.

Build Reserves: Use this time for in-depth research on Meme, RWA, ETF, and Solana ecosystem, establish your "quality asset pool," and wait for clarification signals from "price facts" and "whale intentions."

In intelligence contradiction periods, surviving and staying sharp is the biggest victory.

Follow me - tonight I'll launch "BlackRock Coin Withdrawal Behavior Special Analysis," deducing three core scripts behind movements of hundreds of millions of dollars.

May you see clearly through every information battle of 2026 and win decisively.