Reuters: U.S. intelligence confirms "only one-third of Iran's missiles were destroyed," does the large arsenal still pose a threat?

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Multiple sources familiar with U.S. intelligence have revealed that, as the conflict between the U.S. and Iran approaches one month, the U.S. can currently only confirm the destruction of about one-third of Iran’s missile stockpile. Another one-third of the missiles remain unaccounted for, with assessments suggesting they may have been damaged or buried deep in underground bunkers.
(Background: Trump: The Iranian Air Force and Navy have been completely destroyed, losing their mine-laying capabilities; the impact of the conflict on the stock market and oil prices has not been as severe as expected.)
(Additional context: A final hope for U.S.-Iran negotiations? Trump has appointed Vice President Pence to lead “U.S.-Iran negotiations,” warning that failure will escalate military strikes.)

The military actions by the U.S. and Israel against Iran are nearing the one-month mark, and the real progress of the conflict has drawn significant attention from global markets. According to an exclusive report from Reuters published on March 27, multiple anonymous sources familiar with U.S. intelligence have revealed that the U.S. can currently only “confirm” the destruction of one-third of Iran’s large missile stockpile.

Another one-third of missiles remain unaccounted for

The report indicates that, in addition to the one-third of missiles confirmed destroyed, approximately one-third of the missiles currently have a “less clear” status. However, four of the sources added that the continuous bombing operations by the U.S. military have likely caused damage to, destroyed, or buried this batch of missiles within Iran’s underground tunnels and bunkers, rendering them unusable.

Due to the highly sensitive nature of the intelligence, all five interviewed sources requested anonymity. This latest disclosure of intelligence data suggests that Iran may still retain a certain degree of military retaliatory capability. If the conflict cannot be quickly resolved through diplomatic means, the long-term uncertainty in Middle Eastern geopolitics may continue to exert pressure on the international crude oil market and the funding dynamics of global risk assets.

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