Will there be rate cuts this year? The decision-making power is no longer with the Federal Reserve, but with Iran. The war is entering a critical stage.
The early morning FOMC meeting and Powell's remarks were widely interpreted by the market as hawkish. But objectively speaking, it's nothing more than the economy still doing okay and employment still having hidden worries; on inflation, concerns that the Iran war will cause expectations to lose their anchor; on interest rates, levels are slightly restrictive.
If we synthesize it all and translate it into more common language, it would be: due
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