A recent investment bank research report has caused a stir in the community, with core insights that sound almost too simple: institutions are pouring money into the crypto market, and the truly decisive factor is not the price fluctuations, but whether regulatory policies are clearly communicated.



Imagine large asset management firms managing trillions of dollars; the fundamental reason they haven't dared to enter the crypto space on a large scale is uncertainty. Risks like the Grayscale fund investigation or the Luna project collapse are essentially due to unclear policy rules beforehand, forcing institutions to bear additional risks.

The report states very plainly: the importance of policy clarity has surpassed technological progress and far exceeds price expectations. In other words, instead of obsessing over Bitcoin and Ethereum candlestick charts, it’s more important to pay attention to the SEC’s qualitative stance on ETH, the speed of exchange license approvals, and similar factors.

This phenomenon can be easily understood through analogy. Previously, institutional participation in the crypto market was like playing jump rope; every step had to be cautious, only daring to step on the most stable two bricks (Bitcoin and Ethereum), while watching retail investors frantically participate in new blockchains and DeFi ecosystems but maintaining distance. But once policies become clear, capital might flood in like a dam opening, rushing in multiple directions.

In terms of flow, if such a scenario occurs, institutional funds are most likely to flow into three areas: first, the compliant stablecoin sector; second, mainstream Layer 1 ecosystems, especially those labeled as "compliant"; third, exchanges that have obtained licenses in regulator-friendly regions. Sandbox policies in places like Singapore and Dubai may become the preferred destinations for capital.

However, this logic also warrants caution. The regulatory frameworks between the East and West differ greatly, and ultimately, funds might only flow into "compliance safe havens." Overemphasizing compliance could also stifle innovation, impacting the vitality of the ecosystem. Another common trap is that the market might preemptively overestimate this expectation; when policies are finally implemented, a wave of corrections could occur.

At the end of the day, it’s quite simple: the more clearly a regulatory policy is defined, the more opportunities there are for capital inflow. In this cycle, whoever understands the policy logic best will hold more initiative.
LUNA1.38%
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ETH0.28%
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MEVHunterWangvip
· 01-08 20:21
Pure nonsense, to put it simply, institutions are still timid. Let's wait until real policies come out.
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Liquidated_Larryvip
· 01-08 11:52
Policy clarity > coin price, I buy into this logic, but frankly, institutions have long been betting on policies. If you don't believe it, look at the Gray Scale show; what's the real investigation? It's clearly just waiting for licenses. Once the SEC gives a statement, the capital gate will open with a swoosh. The compliance safe havens in Singapore and Dubai seem doubtful; at that time, it will only accelerate regulatory fragmentation, and funds will become even more dispersed. The most heartbreaking part is the last sentence — when policies finally land, retail investors will have to take the hit from another downturn, it's an old story.
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PancakeFlippavip
· 01-07 07:09
Basically, it's just waiting for clear policies. Right now, those focusing on K-line charts are all fools.
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WenMoonvip
· 01-06 03:56
Honestly, this research report really lays bare everyone's true thoughts. Institutions are truly trembling in fear of regulation; they dare not buy Bitcoin even when it hits 100,000 yuan, just waiting for the policy to give the signal. Policy > Technology > Price, this order really hit me hard. I used to be blind watching candlestick charts, now I have to watch SEC's words carefully, it's incredible. The term "regulatory safe haven" is absolutely false. Singapore and Dubai are probably well-fed, but don't celebrate too early. Such expectations are just a short-term hype that should be countered with a sell-off.
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NFTBlackHolevip
· 01-06 03:52
Policy clarity > coin price, this logic is indeed correct, but how do retail investors play? Institutions can still wait for policies to be implemented, but we need to eat. Regulatory sandboxes are all tricks; who ultimately loses money when flows go to compliant havens is still unknown. The real opportunities are with those who have already obtained licenses; once the SEC changes its stance, funds will pour in. This cycle still seems to be driven by information asymmetry—whoever has the latest news makes money. I'm a bit skeptical about whether research reports are just catching up; institutions have already been acting. The most dangerous moment is when policies become clear; overestimating expectations in advance is real. Singapore and Dubai are unreliable; in the end, it still depends on the US stance. Compliant projects sound safe, but if the ecosystem loses vitality, it’s useless. The key is that we simply cannot accurately predict policy timing; we can only gamble.
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CounterIndicatorvip
· 01-06 03:50
Here we go again, with both regulations and policy clarity. I'm tired of hearing this rhetoric. The real issue is that institutions simply don't want to come; it has nothing to do with policies. Once policies are clear, will funds flow in? I think the opposite. It will be a great time for a疯狂套现. Politely, it's a flood of funds; harshly, it's a signal for韭菜 to be harvested. Regulatory friendly regions? That would be the next place where LUNA is born.
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DegenApeSurfervip
· 01-06 03:32
Policy Clarity > The logic that the coin price is truly impacted by this is indeed spot on, but I think it’s also very difficult for big institutions' money to bypass those compliance costs. Instead of waiting for policies to be implemented, it’s better to start deploying in places like Singapore now.
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