Market Observation: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's latest remarks on January 5th have attracted attention. He stated that if economic and price trends meet expectations, the central bank will continue to raise interest rates—this is a further signal following the December 2022 increase to 0.75% (the highest in thirty years). Industry insiders expect 1-2 more rate hikes by 2026, with the terminal rate possibly reaching 1%.


What does this mean for crypto assets? The yen appreciation cycle is beginning, and arbitrage funds may flow in the opposite direction. In the short term, narrowing interest rate differentials between Japan and the US could boost risk appetite, benefiting high-volatility assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Currently, BTC hovers above $91,000, and ETH approaches $3,150, indicating potential upward momentum.
But be cautious—once the global monetary policy tightening expectation is formed, reverse arbitrage and risk aversion could reverse the situation instantly. Do not blindly chase short-term rebounds; closely monitor the Federal Reserve's subsequent actions and the yen exchange rate trends. These two factors are key to determining the rhythm of the crypto market.
BTC-0.7%
ETH-1.24%
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ZKSherlockvip
· 01-05 19:05
actually... people keep conflating carry trade unwinding with actual macro signals here. the BoJ hiking isn't some magic catalyst—it's just one variable in a probabilistic proof system nobody's bothered to model correctly, you know?
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Ser_Liquidatedvip
· 01-05 08:19
Is Japan going to raise interest rates again? The yen arbitrage game is about to change, and it feels like this wave of BTC's rise might be the final frenzy.
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AirdropHunter007vip
· 01-05 08:12
Japan raises interest rates again, now arbitrage funds are about to move, feels like BTC can still surge a bit.
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BuyTheTopvip
· 01-05 07:58
Japan is raising interest rates again? This really leaves no room for arbitrage... Enjoy the short-term gains, but in the long run, it still depends on the Fed's stance.
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TokenomicsTinfoilHatvip
· 01-05 07:52
Japan raises interest rates again, feels like BTC is about to take off... But this arbitrage logic seems a bit fragile. --- Those who chase short-term rebounds are all newbies; I don't play that game. --- Wait, can the appreciation of the Japanese Yen really attract funds into the crypto market? It feels a bit counterintuitive. --- 91K has been hovering for too long; either break through or crash, no middle ground. --- A single statement from the Federal Reserve could overturn the Bank of Japan's current expectations; the market is so fragile. --- If ETH rises another 200, I will liquidate; this wave is not safe.
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