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The crypto market experienced a significant wave today. Ethereum directly broke through the $3100 mark, and bears collapsed collectively within 24 hours. During this rally, nearly 1 billion in funds flooded into top trading platforms to buy the dip, CVD index soared, and the overall market sentiment instantly shifted. Is this a precise deployment by big funds, or is the bull market being triggered early? The logic behind this short squeeze is worth a thorough analysis.
Let's start with the fundamentals. The CVD index is often overlooked, but it actually directly reflects the comparison between active buying and selling pressure. The sharp rise in the CVD indicates that it’s not retail investor sentiment driving the move, but institutional funds eagerly "snatching up chips." Those bears in the community shouting "Ethereum will return to 2800" were caught off guard this time. Their stop-loss orders were executed at high levels, vividly illustrating a liquidation tragedy.
More striking is the change in leverage data. From $6.2 billion skyrocketing to $7.1 billion, these figures seem exciting but hide hidden risks. Retail traders chasing the high should be cautious—just a slight correction of a few points in Ethereum could lead to the same fate. Leverage is a double-edged sword; excessive leverage means that a minor pullback can trigger forced liquidations. Last year, a leading coin experienced a similar scenario: after maxing out leverage, a small correction caused a chain of liquidations, with a drop of over 20% within half a day.
This rally indeed provided an opportunity for big funds to enter, but it also planted new risks. Market participants need to recognize one thing: the thrill of chasing the rally often marks the beginning of losses when the trend reverses.