2025.12.26

BTC 11.21-12.11's 17% increase captured, then re-entered around 85,000 on 12.19, and on 12.24, after a false breakdown was indicated, bought again at 86,500. During this period, the market was repeatedly manipulated, and the trend has yet to break out.

BTC is currently at a turning point in the market; a trend may emerge in the next few days.

Previously, it was mentioned that Gann timing around 12.29 could identify the end of the correction starting from 94,600. The timing is now approaching. Two probable short-term trend scenarios:

Blue route: BTC has formed a converging correction pattern. Tonight, it may pull back. If the decline isn't strong, this scenario becomes more likely. I will look for opportunities to add more.

Red route: BTC could fall sharply tonight, then oscillate downward until around 12.28-12.30, find support near 84,000, and then start to rise.

As for a direct surge to over 94,600 or a violent drop below 84,000, approaching 80,600, these are also possible but low-probability events. They are only for risk management reference and not for trading decisions. When trading, risk control should be used to avoid extreme situations, so I won't elaborate further.

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