#创作者冲榜 Today, Bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback in early trading, hitting a low near 68200 before bouncing back. As of now, the price is oscillating around the 68300 level. On the daily timeframe, following a bearish K-line adjustment, the price has fallen below the short-term moving averages, with the 7-day, 15-day, and 20-day EMAs all turning downward, showing a weakening trend. The KDJ indicator's three lines are extending downward synchronously, with the J value entering the oversold zone but without a reversal signal yet, indicating that bearish forces currently dominate the market. In the MACD indicator, the DIF is trending toward a death cross below the DEA, with the energy histogram continuously contracting and turning negative, showing weakening momentum. The upward momentum of bulls continues to fade. The RSI indicator's three lines have fallen below the 50 level, confirming a short-term bearish dominance, with the 66000-67000 support zone formed by the Bollinger Band's lower rail and previous lows providing some support. Subsequent price action is likely to continue the correction trend. From the short-period hourly and 4-hour charts, BTC price has broken below the 7/15/20-day short-term EMAs, simultaneously losing the 30-day intermediate-term moving average and 120-day long-term moving average support, with the overall moving average alignment in a bearish formation. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with the price hugging the lower rail, clearly showing a bearish trend. The KDJ three lines continue to diverge downward, with the J value nearing the oversold zone, the MACD death cross followed by continuous expansion of bearish momentum, and the RSI three lines falling below 40, indicating weak overall market sentiment with insufficient short-term rebound momentum. Regarding subsequent price movement, there is a high probability of continued downward correction. If the recent low of 68200 is broken, it will further test the 66000-67000 support zone. If the price stabilizes and rebounds in the short term, the 70000-70500 zone above will face dual pressure from the 30-day EMA and Bollinger middle band, making a breakout difficult. Overall, the trend remains biased toward bearish oscillation and downward movement, with attention needed to the risk of price further testing intermediate-term support levels.

BTC-3.28%
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