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[Start accumulating coins] OGN·VELO "genuine rise"…AA·ARIA overheat warning amid declining trading volume
① Price increase ↑ + trading volume increase ↑ (strong confirmation signal) Cryptocurrencies whose price and trading volume rise simultaneously on a weekly basis belong to the “true upward” zone supported by actual buying pressure. This is not merely a technical rebound but a confirmed supply and demand trend, increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal.
Origin Protocol (OGN) +25.90% | Trading volume +412.79% Velo (VELO) +25.48% | Trading volume +124.54% Polymesh (POLYX) +25.23% | Trading volume +6969.53%
② Price increase ↑ + trading volume decrease ↓ (buying fatigue signal) Cryptocurrencies with rising prices but decreasing trading volume suggest short-term buying momentum is weakening. When supply and demand support decrease, if the price remains stable or rises, it indicates a high probability of short-term peaks. Caution is advised when chasing the rally.
Aria (ARIA) +24% | Trading volume -56% Arai (AA) +111% | Trading volume -48% World Mobile Token (WMTX) +34% | Trading volume -21%
③ Price decrease ↓ + trading volume increase ↑ (selling pressure signal) Cryptocurrencies with falling prices but increasing trading volume indicate increasing selling/stop-loss pressure. This may lead to further short-term declines.
DeAgent AI (AIA) -8% | Trading volume +72% Midnight (NIGHT) -5% | Trading volume +43% Kava (KAVA) -10% | Trading volume +3%
④ Price decrease ↓ + trading volume decrease ↓ (attention loss/cooling zone) Cryptocurrencies with simultaneous declines in price and volume suggest decreasing investor interest, entering a cooling phase. Lack of obvious rebound momentum in the short term, with higher chances of sideways movement or further adjustment.
Flow (FLOW) -49% | Trading volume -34% Resolv (RESOLV) -43% | Trading volume -8% Xterio (XTER) -19% | Trading volume -33%
Long-term accumulation coins
Numeraire (NMR) (started accumulation on September 7) | Weekly change +6% | Trading volume change -6% Super Trust (SUT) (started accumulation on November 19) | Weekly change -4% | Trading volume change +11% Form (FORM) (started accumulation on December 18) | Weekly change -2% | Trading volume change -26%
NMR shows price increase on a weekly basis but decreasing volume, indicating limited upward momentum. SUT’s price declined but volume increased, showing demand for buying on dips during accumulation. FORM’s price and volume both decreased, indicating a wait-and-see attitude during accumulation.
Newly starting accumulation coins
Kaizen (KGEN) (Day 1 of accumulation) | Weekly change -10% | Trading volume change -2% Origin Protocol (OGN) (Day 1 of accumulation) | Weekly change +25% | Trading volume +413% Arai (AA) (Day 1 of accumulation) | Weekly change +315% | Trading volume -48%
KGEN’s price and volume both decreased, showing a cautious sentiment in early accumulation. OGN’s price and volume both increased, confirming inflow of supply and demand during new accumulation. AA’s price surged but volume decreased, which can be interpreted as short-term overheating with weakening buying momentum.
[Editor’s note] In the cryptocurrency market, the duration of accumulation and changes in price and volume are important indicators for early trend reversal signals. The accumulation zone is characterized by increasing volume but difficulty in price rising, potentially hiding large funds buying in batches. Cross-analyzing the recent 7 days (7d) of price and volume of coins in the accumulation zone can provide a three-dimensional understanding of market psychology and supply-demand flows. Weekly summaries will focus on assets showing ongoing accumulation signs and emerging upward reversal signals.
[This article does not provide financial advice; investment results are the responsibility of the investor.]