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The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is a crucial economic indicator in the U.S., detailing the number of jobs added or lost, excluding sectors such as farm workers and government employees. This report significantly influences the U.S. dollar, interest rate expectations, and global financial markets.
Importance of NFP:
Strong employment growth signals a robust economy, often strengthening the U.S. dollar and likely leading to unchanged or rising interest rates. This scenario can pressure risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold. Conversely, weak employment growth points to slowing economic activity, typically weakening the dollar and increasing expectations for rate cuts, which can provide support for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Impact on cryptocurrency:
Cryptocurrency prices respond to NFP data through shifts in the dollar and interest rate expectations. Strong NFP results generally mean a stronger dollar and higher yields, which may pressure BTC and other cryptocurrencies. Conversely, weak results might suggest a weakening dollar and lower yields, providing support to these digital assets.
Market behavior during NFP release:
The NFP release tends to increase market volatility, with rapid price movements occurring within seconds. Liquidity may decrease, spreads can widen, and stop-loss orders might be triggered easily.
NFP trading strategies:
Avoid opening new positions just before the news release. If currently profitable, consider taking partial profits. Wait 15–30 minutes post-release to gain clarity on market direction before making trading decisions, focusing on price action rather than emotions.
Risk reminder:
On NFP days, prioritizing capital protection over chasing hefty profits is key. Savvy traders focus on survival first, then profit.