# NonfarmPayrollsComing

Non-farm Payrolls Release Day: Why Do Markets Often Move in the Opposite Direction?
Many traders share a common confusion: even when non-farm data appears to be bullish for a certain asset, the price tends to move in the opposite direction. The reason is not that the market is "wrong," but that it has already priced in the expectations in advance. On non-farm release days, the market essentially becomes a game of "positions versus expectations."
Before the data is released, a large amount of capital has already been positioned based on expectations. Once the data is out, if the results merely

Beyond Non-Farm Payrolls, what is more worth警惕的是“就业拐点”
Compared to the single Non-Farm Payrolls report, what investors should be more警惕的是“就业结构性变化带来的“拐点信号”。 Historically, what truly influences the medium- to long-term market trend is not a single employment report falling significantly short of expectations, but rather sustained weakening of employment data over multiple months, accompanied by a synchronized decline in other economic indicators.
For example, when job gains continue to decline, the unemployment rate trends upward, and news of layoffs increases, it often indicates a substantial c

The core of non-farm payroll data is not about "how much new employment" but whether "interest rate cuts are still possible."
Entering 2026, the market significance of non-farm employment data has clearly diverged from the early stages of rate hike cycles. In the past, an increase in new jobs was often seen as a sign of an overheating economy; now, non-farm data more resembles a gauge of "whether the Federal Reserve has room to continue easing." In other words, non-farm data is not only an economic indicator but also a direct clue to the monetary policy path.
If employment growth continues to