ParziVal

The current total cryptocurrency market capitalization is approximately $2.25-2.35 trillion, down nearly 40-50% from the 2025 peak, indicating an extreme correction/development phase dominated by macro policy uncertainty. Repeated tariffs under Trump + unmet expectations of Fed rate cuts + large-scale outflows from institutional ETFs have collectively heightened risk aversion, with the Fear & Greed index dropping to **Extreme Fear (5-12)**, a historic low. In the short term (1-4 weeks), markets remain under pressure (BTC 60k-65k, ETH 1700-1850 oscillating weakly), but on-chain accumulation and

ETH Perpetual Contract Trading Strategy for Today (February 25, 2026)
Market Background
Currently, ETH price is in a short-term fluctuation range, with approximately 5% gain over 24 hours and moderate trading volume. Based on two leverage ranges, support/defense levels, liquidity indicators, and profit targets.
This strategy employs high leverage, two-way trading, with no stop-loss as a principle, treating SL as DF, forming a Martingale-style risk management.
Note: High leverage trading without stop-loss carries extremely high risk and may lead to unlimited losses. It is only suitable for prof

x100-x200
ST：1862-1842-1822≤3%
DF：1802-1782-1772≤9%
DF2：MP liq Avg.P≈45-65
TP：1980(50%)-2050(25%)-2080(75%)

x50-x150
ST：1935-1955-1975≤3%
DF：1994-2014-2024≤9%
DF2：MP liq Avg.P≈65-85
TP：1855(50%)-1865(25%)-1875(75%)

BTC vs ETH: Deep Comparison of Volatility Probabilities Based on Historical Indicator Backtests and Institutional Recognition Value vs Market-Neutral Healthy Value Analysis (2026.2.25)
Key Conclusions:
Currently (BTC ≈63,800-64,500 USD, ETH ≈1,845-1,855 USD) at historically extreme undervaluation/surrender window (BTC MVRV Z-Score ≈0.35, ETH ≈-0.46), resonating strongly with late 2018 and late November 2022 bottoms. Backtests show: similar indicator levels have a 72% chance of BTC rising ≥20% within 90 days, and a 58% chance of ≥50% (median return +68%); ETH, due to higher Beta (historical 1.6

BTC On-Chain Data Deep Dive + Overall Technical/Macro Trend Analysis
First, the core conclusion (not investment advice, DYOR + strict stop-loss):
On-chain data has entered a textbook bottom signal zone of **"extreme capitulation + strong accumulation"** (similar to November 2022). Current price ~63,800-64,500 USD (intraday volatility, rebound from yesterday’s lows), Realized Price ~54.9k forming a solid bottom, with over 400,000 BTC accumulated in the 60-70k range. Holding above 60k-62k → 70% probability of a short-term rebound to 65k-68k, with a mid-term bottoming target of 80k-100k+. Only if

Short-term rebound strategy (suitable for 1-7 days, light positions, quick in and out):
• Entry: 1821-1831 with a light position ≤5%; if retracement to 1801-1791, add to 15%; at 1761-1751, add 35%.
• Partial profit-taking:
• 65% at 1885-1900
• 25% at 1950-1980
• 10% tracking above 2000 (or breaking through)
• Expected risk-reward ratio: 1:4.5+; risk is controllable.
Mid-term bottom-building DCA strategy (recommended for core position players):
• Core range: 1750-1820, invest in 5-8 batches (the lower, the heavier).
• Heavy position addition: around 1750-1780.
• Reduction reference: reduc

The so-called trading range is nothing more than the stop-loss and take-profit levels around the average entry price of retail investors with small positions.
FUK the market

Trading based on absolute value data offers more certainty than withdrawal indicators over statistical cycles.
come to me.

Trading is a long and disjointed process. Greed and regret run through the entire trading cycle.
Learning to restrain the desires of human nature is the greatest gain in trading.
Never underestimate yourself.
mkm.

Congratulations to all original shareholders, the 2026 main package will lead everyone to the peak.

No wasting time, no wasting emotions—only take confirmed trades, only enter at levels I can clearly see.
Seize opportunities, make profits, music, travel.
Reze and 02.
2026: Surpass myself.