If you're playing prediction markets aiming for airdrops, I can say that 99% of the time you'll lose money by over-collecting.

Playing prediction markets well is like picking up money; the best approach is to profit from it, and how much you get from airdrops becomes secondary.
But if you choose to play with a strategy of just grabbing tokens, losses are inevitable. Without a good strategy, you simply can't generate volume.
In gambling, the normal cap is around 5 times, which is quite high.
Liquidity can't compare to other crypto markets.
Once you miss the optimal stop-loss point, there's almost no buy-in.