If negotiations fail and the market moves ahead first? That’s the most dangerous situation!

There is a scenario that’s more troublesome than a breakdown in talks—
Negotiations haven’t concluded, but the market has already reacted in advance.
What does that mean?
If everyone expects a easing, assets will rise early;
But if the final outcome is just a “moderate easing,” a pullback might occur instead.
This is a classic case of “buying the rumor, selling the fact.”
The current market has a bit of this flavor.
Oil prices fluctuate at high levels, risk assets swing back and forth, indicating funds are positioning early but not daring to go all in.
And the news of $6 billion or its denial further intensifies this uncertainty.
So the real risk isn’t just the event itself, but—
The gap between expectations and reality.
That’s also why this stage is most vulnerable to “counterattacks.”
You think good news will continue to push prices up;
But when the good news materializes, prices start to fall instead.
So there’s only one strategy:
Stay flexible.
Don’t go all-in, don’t hold heavy positions on one side, leave yourself room.
Final words:
The market’s harshest blow isn’t bad news, but “disappointing expectations.”#Gate广场四月发帖挑战