[Red Envelope] Love is a light, green and thriving! Haha! Ice point back to ice point, broke the level, continue to hold empty positions;

[Guba]

Haha, Emperor Green! Your love has become light, green light, lush green~
Bought stocks on Friday, sold today, the overall account still shows positive feedback! Pretty cool, right?
Today’s stocks bought, only Wolong didn’t hit the daily limit, others still hit the limit, pretty cool, right?
Hope there’s still meat to eat tomorrow. I just like others to fail, I succeed, eye-catching package, haha!

The market is indeed expected, gap down opening. Why is that?
1. International trend is poor; 2. Retail investors lying dormant and not selling; 3. Last Friday, the gap was already broken below the gap, breaking the level;
Taking advantage of the decline to continue washing out panic selling, otherwise how to get the chips?
If you are the main force, you would also follow the trend, sell down with the trend, right?
Remember my main force behavioral course? If you don’t remember, go watch the replay of the live broadcast.

Although Huadian Liaoning Energy is the highest target, today is not the entry point, there’s a high probability of a big gap down tomorrow;
Instead, today’s Dashi Da is the entry point, this is consensus, when everyone shares the same view, it becomes a collective effort;
Ten thousand people lifting the sedan chair to hit the limit, also considered inevitable. Recently, I love making such collective stocks; why? I wrote about it in the previous post, go check it out.
Remember to like more, interact more, 300 likes can upgrade you to Silver Fan.
In the future, only reply to Gold and Silver Fans for detailed issues;
Be kind and reciprocal, support me by liking and interacting more, turn on the lamp~~

I deliberately emphasized stocks with strong trends, this time I won’t buy on the decline. Indeed, no surge after the decline.
Why do I make this prediction? Because the cycle is wrong, timing.
Remember I always emphasize, timing > trend > stock, that’s the meaning.

Today is probably the worst day in nearly half a year. Also within expectations, it’s a war, big A stocks go up, it’s not necessarily going up, but when others fall, it’s a self-punishment, that’s a rule now, don’t blame, don’t be upset. I am very calm about it.

Loving the limit-down stocks, these past few days have been super satisfying, right? Buying low during the main rise phase has a higher success rate.
Therefore, even with strong trend stocks, I don’t advocate buying on the dip.

Severe market-wide decline, freezing point market
Today’s market can be summarized in two words: brutal.
All three major indices fell sharply, closing as follows:
· Shanghai Composite down 3.63%, at 3813.28 points, once dipped below 3800 during the day
· Shenzhen Component down 3.76%
· ChiNext down 3.49%
· STAR Market down 4.93%

In the entire market, 5170 stocks declined, only 305 rose, 145 stocks hit the limit down (including ST), excluding ST 71 stocks. The proportion of rising stocks is less than 6%, a typical systemic risk release market.
In terms of trading volume, the combined turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 24.481 trillion yuan, an increase of 145.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. The increased volume indicates panic selling, and selling pressure has not been fully released.
Super short-term sentiment judgment: today is a freezing point market—indices plummeted, stocks broadly declined, and over 100 stocks hit the limit down.
In such an environment, the fault tolerance for super short-term trading is very low, most chasing high in the morning got trapped. (Not including me, I’ve already switched, haha)

II. Deep analysis of the continuous limit-up echelon
Today’s total of 5 stocks with consecutive limit-ups, last trading day had 7, the promotion rate is 42.85%.
In the context of over 5000 stocks falling, maintaining this promotion rate indicates that short-term funds are highly concentrated in core leaders.

· High level: Huadian Liaoning Energy 6 consecutive limit-ups maintain market space, but after continuous shrinking volume, risks accumulate;
· Mid-level: Dashi Da 4 consecutive limit-ups, Dongfang Xinneng 3, forming a transition, but there’s a clear gap among mid-tier stocks;
· Low level: Zhongli Group and Zhengtai Power 2 consecutive limit-ups, both in PV/energy storage sectors, with good sector linkage;
· Commonality: all 5 stocks with consecutive limit-ups are focused on power/green energy/photovoltaics/energy storage, which is the only risk-averse + offensive direction recognized by today’s funds;
· Risks: in a market where over 5000 stocks are declining, the stocks with consecutive limit-ups are survivor bias, and the next-day premium rate is uncertain.

Core observation points for tomorrow: whether Huadian Liaoning Energy can break through the 7-limit restriction, whether Dashi Da can weaken and turn strong, and whether the green energy sector can continue to perform countertrend.