Fiscal Revenue in First Two Months Grows 0.7% Year-over-Year, Expenditure Pace Fastest in Five Years

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[Caixin] The economy starts off well in 2026, with price recovery driving a steady rebound in fiscal revenue in the first two months, up 0.7% year-on-year. Fiscal expenditures outperformed revenues, reflecting proactive fiscal policies and the early issuance of local government special bonds.

Data released by the Ministry of Finance on March 19 shows that from January to February 2026, the total national general public budget revenue reached 4.41 trillion yuan, a 0.7% increase year-on-year. In comparison, both the full year of 2025 and the first two months saw declines in fiscal revenue. During January and February, tax revenue was 3.64 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year; non-tax revenue was 776.1 billion yuan, growing faster than tax revenue at 3.4% year-on-year.

Guangfa Securities’ macro research team reports that the tax revenue growth in the first two months remains relatively weak and still lags behind the 2026 target of 2.9%. However, it has significantly improved from December 2025 (-11.5%), mainly due to the initial recovery in economic activity and price trends.

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