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How DaVita’s Buybacks-Driven Earnings Outlook Despite Falling Volumes Will Impact DaVita (DVA) Investors
Despite falling dialysis patient volumes in 2025, DaVita’s earnings outlook appears stronger, primarily driven by share repurchases rather than organic growth, as highlighted at the TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference. While the company focuses on clinical programs and integrated care to counter volume pressures, investors should be aware that significant EPS progress relies on financial engineering. DaVita’s narrative projects $15.0 billion revenue and $970.4 million earnings by 2028, with a fair value of $151.71, yet warns about the structural risk of declining treatment volumes.