【MU Analysis】Micron Falls Over 4% After Hours Following Earnings Release; Analyst: "This Quarter's Earnings Equals the Entire Year's Profits," Capital Expenditure Increase Becomes "Double-Edged Sword" in Building Moats

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Micron Technology (Ticker: MU) reported better-than-expected earnings but raised capital expenditures. After hours, the stock initially rose then fell more than 4%. Micron announced second-quarter revenue of over $23.8 billion, nearly doubling from the previous year, with net profit increasing 7.7 times. Adjusted earnings per share were $12.20, surpassing market expectations of $9.31. The company forecasted third-quarter revenue median at $33.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $19.15, beating market estimates; however, it also raised capital expenditure guidance for this fiscal year by 25% to $25 billion, with over $10 billion more expected next year.

A fund industry professional said in a video interview that Micron’s strong performance “is equivalent to earning a year’s profit in this quarter, with gross margins multiplying, which is very strong.” But the market has already priced in some benefits from rising storage prices, and the stock has gained significantly, possibly leading to profit-taking on good news.

He also mentioned that the market’s attitude toward companies increasing capital expenditures is like a “double-edged sword.” On one hand, it boosts future competitiveness; on the other, it increases short-term cash flow pressure. “They’re making a lot of money but also spending more, which is quite awkward. From an operational perspective, it’s not awkward, but the investment market may not like it.”

The fund professional believes that overall market volatility remains high in the short term, and investors are still wary of companies burning cash. However, in the long run, active investment at this stage could help build a moat and give the company a competitive edge. “The cost of not investing now, I think, will be much greater than the cost of investing at this moment.” He added that unless Micron’s stock price shows a clear technical deterioration, it should be considered a normal pullback, and investors might consider buying on dips.

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