Bull Tweeting Piano: A Major Turning Point, War Enters a Crazy Phase

(1)

March 18th, the 19th day of the US-Israel-Iran war, and it must be said that the war has entered a疯狂 stage.

Four landmark events, each shocking.

1. Two consecutive days, three major Iranian leaders assassinated.

2. Israel launched an attack on Iran’s “largest natural gas facility.”

3. Iran immediately attacked oil facilities in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.

4. International oil prices, like a frightened bird, saw Brent crude surpass $110 per barrel.

Simply put, there are no more red lines in the Middle East; even if there were, they’ve long been soaked in blood and no longer visible. Everyone is fighting to the death.

After Israel attacked Iran’s natural gas facilities, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi publicly warned, “This will make the situation more complicated and could have uncontrollable consequences, potentially sweeping the globe.”

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf vowed that the cycle of tit-for-tat has begun, and a new round of confrontation has started.

One very important variable here is Israel.

Having swept through the Middle East invincibly, Israel is now engaging in multi-front operations. Its top enemy, Iran, with fighter jets launching long-range strikes, continues to bombard Iran; its second enemy, Hezbollah, is crossing borders for a full-scale sweep.

In this process, attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure undoubtedly mark a major escalation of the war.

I saw CNN even quoting experts saying that attacking Iran’s largest gas field will be a “clear turning point” in the war, and that it “may also signal a shift in Trump’s approach.”

Previously, Israel also attacked fuel depots in Tehran, Iran’s capital, and the US expressed objections, believing it was reckless and could trigger global panic.

But on March 18th, the Israeli military raided Iran’s “largest natural gas facility” in Bushehr in southern Iran, which processes 40% of Iran’s natural gas. This was the first time the IDF attacked Iran’s energy production facilities.

According to the Israeli military, this strike was coordinated with the US.

Why the sudden move?

I see that Israel considers this a new warning to Iran: if Iran continues to blockade the Strait of Hormuz and drag the global economy into chaos, the US and Israel will strike at Iran’s revenue lifeline—the energy sector.

But the dirty work is left to Israel; the US chooses to stand by and watch.

Iran’s response is: if you play hard, I’ll play hard; if you make it impossible for me to survive, I’ll make everyone’s life miserable.

The logic of war is always similar: if you choke my throat, I’ll stab your heart. And once hatred breaks free, its revenge targets often don’t distinguish between friend and foe.

After Israel’s attack, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard immediately issued a warning: oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar have become legitimate targets, and Iran will strike within hours, urging local residents to evacuate.

A few hours later, multiple explosions were heard over Riyadh, Saudi Arabia’s capital; Qatar’s largest natural gas base, Ras Laffan Industrial City, was hit by missiles, causing fires and heavy losses, reportedly. Ras Laffan is the world’s largest natural gas complex, supplying about 20% of the world’s liquefied natural gas.

International oil prices, already trembling, soared further amid the fire, reaching the highest closing prices since the war began.

The global economy is trembling.

(2)

What to do?

Honestly, there are no good options.

When people are truly desperate, the outcome is inevitably like this—rationality is gone.

Israel is gambling.

Betting on devastating strikes on Iran’s infrastructure, betting on killing Iran’s leaders one after another, to completely destroy Iran’s potential and willpower, so that even if the war ends, Iran loses the ability to attack Israel.

The US is also gambling and muddling through.

Frankly, this war shows no clear US strategy; it feels like they’re slipping on a banana peel—wherever they slide, they go. They didn’t expect Iran to resist so stubbornly, nor that Iran would dare to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. The US dares not escort ships, and allies are unwilling to get involved, so now they let Israel and Iran go crazy.

Iran’s response is anger and revenge.

Iran, furious, was attacked suddenly during negotiations twice before. Now, on the first day of the war, its top leader was killed; now three major leaders have been assassinated, and its oil and gas infrastructure has been heavily attacked. Iran has no choice but to retaliate—not only against the US and Israel but also against neighboring energy facilities. Everyone is not safe, and the whole world suffers.

When the desperate see no way out, madness becomes their last weapon.

And those bearing this weapon are not only enemies but also countless innocent civilians.

What will happen next?

Besides bad news, there will surely be more bad news.

The irony of history is that everyone knows the abyss is ahead, but they still run headlong toward the cliff.

I saw that Iran’s newly appointed Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Moojtaaba Khamenei, went silent for days, and on the early morning of March 19th, Beijing time, he updated his social media.

He expressed condolences for the deaths of Iran’s top National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani, Basij militia commander Suleimani, and others.

He vowed: “Every drop of blood will be avenged, and the killers of these martyrs will soon pay the price.”

For Israel, the assassination of Larijani and others is undoubtedly a major victory they can boast of, intimidating other Iranian leaders, and creating a vacuum and chaos within Iran’s leadership, potentially collapsing the regime.

But the downside is that Iran is not Venezuela. Strong religious ideology, the organizational structure of the Revolutionary Guard, and the current “mosaic defense system” mean that when one leader falls, a new one automatically takes over. The new leader lacks the authority of the predecessor, often becoming more extreme and radical—revenge and more revenge become their main legitimacy.

And then, a new bloody storm begins.

(3)

Finally, I won’t say much more. Never trust miracles in the Middle East.

Peace is busy, but eyes are full of blood.

I saw Iran’s Foreign Minister, Amir Abdollahian, issued a latest statement. Roughly, it means:

Imagine Iran’s president presenting a “kill list” to foreign ambassadors: US president, congressional leaders, senior generals—all listed. Then he declares without hesitation: “We will hunt them down one by one.”

Within hours, the world will plunge into chaos. The Security Council will hold an emergency meeting, media will hype hysteria. Sanctions, threats, even war— all rhetoric will be cleverly packaged as defending “international law” and “global order.”

But when it comes to Israel, the usual rules no longer apply. Those so-called “guardians of law and order” fall silent, ambiguous, or worse—they provide weapons and cover.

What we see before us is not falsehood. Falsehood would mean shame. The reality is colder: it’s a deliberate moral decay—rules only apply to opponents, while immunity belongs to allies…

It’s not unreasonable to say so, but what’s the use of reason in this world?

When double standards repeatedly distort rules, what remains is nothing but a piece of paper wrapped in power.

It must be said, everything is truly crazy.

But what’s even crazier might still be ahead.

We are all victims, in fact.

Everyone, please revisit the article I prepared over ten years.

Personal opinion, not representing any organization.