Federal Reserve Decision Triggers Volatility, Watch for 2050 Support Breakthrough

I. Core Market News
Last night, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged. The market had anticipated the decision outcome, with selling pressure from above released ahead of time. Combined with unresolved Middle East tensions causing macroeconomic uncertainty, a stronger US dollar is suppressing risk assets and putting short-term pressure on ETH. However, it's important to note that this pullback is a short-term fluctuation driven by news, and has not yet altered the market's recognition logic for the long-term value of crypto assets.

II. Technical Analysis in Depth
1. Trend and Range: ETH rallied to $2385.78 then pulled back, currently oscillating in the $2180-2220 range with notable resistance above. From a channel structure perspective, the price has not yet broken below the lower bound of the uptrend channel, representing normal adjustment within the trend.
2. Key Levels: Strong support below points directly to $2050, which is a previous area of dense transaction activity and a key defense line for bulls. If broken, it could open downside space. The $2220 level above is the upper bound of the oscillation range; breakthrough is needed before bulls can mount a strong counterattack.
3. Indicator Signals: MACD indicator continues bearish momentum with DEA and DIF in negative territory, indicating weak near-term bullish strength. Trading volume expanded during the pullback, reflecting selling sentiment, but caution is warranted for stabilization signals following volume contraction. In the moving average system, short-term MAs have turned downward while medium to long-term MAs remain upward, showing a divergence between short-term weakness and medium-term bullish bias.

III. Operating Strategy and Risk Warnings
Operating Suggestions
Core Strategy: Primary focus on selling rallies, participate in range oscillation with light positions, maintain strict position control.
Entry Points: Light shorting on rebounds to the 2200-2220 range, targeting 2150-2100; when exploring near 2050, if stabilized, attempt short longs with quick entries and exits.
Risk Management: Set stop loss for shorts above 2230, strictly control stop loss for longs below 2040, avoiding deep losses.

Risk Warnings
Continuously monitor subsequent Federal Reserve policy statements, potential escalation of geopolitical conflicts, and transmission of US stock volatility to market sentiment. Short-term volatility may intensify; strictly adhere to trading discipline and avoid leverage risks#ETH