March 19 Pre-Market Core Strategy

1 Overall Market Analysis [Taogu Ba]

1.1 Adjustment Cycle and Trend Judgment
(1) The market started adjusting from 4197.23 points, with an expected adjustment period of 3-4 weeks; it is still in the adjustment phase.
(2) The market broke below 4050 points; rebounds are mostly pullbacks during a downtrend, with a possibility of new lows.
(3) The day closed with reduced volume; the next day, low volume often leads to a quick rise followed by a fall.

1.2 Key Levels and Volume Requirements
(1) Resistance levels: short-term 4110 points, major resistance 4136 points; to break through, volume must increase, with a red day before 10:00 and early trading with over 100 billion in active volume.
(2) Support levels: short-term 4023 points; a confirmed break lowers the chance of a positive close; major support at 4000 points, with a target of 3968 points if broken.
(3) Volume threshold: market volume below 2.5 trillion indicates poor sector continuity and a fan-like market pattern.

1.3 Key Time Points
(1) March 20 is the futures delivery date, which may increase market volatility.

1.4 Trading Principles
(1) Short-term trading should focus on arbitrage, with quick entries and exits; avoid chasing highs.
(2) In low-volume environments, focus on high-clarity stocks and avoid miscellaneous targets.
(3) No systemic risk in medium to long term; short-term patience is needed for clear signs of strength.

2 Core Targets and Trigger Conditions in Various Sectors

2.1 Chemical Sector
(1) Sector status: the day saw dispersion among stocks, with some stocks underperforming; active rebound to guide capital back in.
(2) External news has positive expectations; a gap-up requires observing support strength, as the oil sector has many trapped positions on the left side.
(3) Core trigger conditions:
① Sanfang (Three Houses): 5-6 increase, weak volume within 10 minutes, strong rebound to limit up, quick promotion without breaking the limit.
② Jizhengda, Chitianhua, Lu Hua Technology: within 15 minutes, weak to strong reversal with limit up; preferred within 1-5 minutes.
③ Jinniu Chemical: red volume oscillates before 10:00, avoiding deep water underperformance.

2.2 Chip Sector
(1) Sector features: short-term focus is weak; suitable for swing trend trading.
(2) Core trigger conditions:
① Yaxiang Integration: within 10 minutes, weak to strong reversal with limit up.
② Demingli: within 20 minutes, limit up, maintaining trend.

2.3 Computing Power Sector
(1) Sector status: a climax during the day, with favorable news at night; next day, front-runners advance, back-runners diverge.
(2) Core trigger conditions:
① Shaoneng Co.: at 9:25, a one-word board with over 2.2 billion in order volume.
② Yue Electric Power A: at 9:25, a one-word board with over 1 billion in order volume.
③ Meili Yun: 1-2 increase, limit up within 15 minutes.

2.4 Power Sector
(1) Core trigger conditions:
① Huaneng Liaoning: at 9:25, a one-word board with over 600 million in order volume.
② Huaneng Energy, Energy-saving Wind Power, GCL Energy Technology, Jinkai New Energy: at least one stock with weak to strong reversal and limit up within 15 minutes; others should avoid deep water.
③ China Energy Construction: before 10:00, red oscillation without deep water.

2.5 Commercial Aerospace Sector
(1) Core trigger conditions:
① Shunhao Co.: 2-3 increase, strong limit up within 15 minutes.
② Zaisheng Technology: 1-2 increase, strong limit up within 15 minutes.
③ Goldwind Technology: actively limit up before 10:00.

3 Risk Control and Stock Selection Rules

3.1 Avoid Regulatory Red Lines
(1) Avoid stocks with a 10-day cumulative deviation of 100% or more, or a 30-day cumulative deviation of 200% or more.

3.2 Stock Selection Criteria
(1) Prioritize high-clarity first-board stocks with strong rebound potential after adjustment, and stocks with expected exceeding limits.
(2) Prefer stocks at new highs or with no resistance on the left side; avoid stocks that cannot continuously reach new highs.

3.3 Market Sentiment Characteristics
(1) The market favors stocks with high breakouts, with capital mainly pursuing first-board arbitrage, emphasizing breadth over height.
(2) When sector conditions are not fully met, internal differentiation and randomness increase.