「Contracts Only」Ultra-Quick Overview (2026.3.18–3.24)

I. Core Timing (Most Critical for Contracts)

1. 3.18 Evening–3.19 Early Morning: Federal Reserve Rate Decision
This is the only biggest reversal window of the week—easiest time for wicks and liquidations around this period.

2. 3.20–3.24: Trend Confirmation Phase
After the rate decision, direction solidifies for the week.

II. BTC Contract Key Levels (Remember Only These 6)

- Bull/Bear Divider: 74000

- Strong Support 1 (Stop Loss): 71500

- Strong Support 2 (Extreme Panic): 70000

- First Resistance (Breakout = Strength): 76000

- Second Target: 78000

- High-Risk Zone (Prone to Pullback): 80000

Contract Signals (Ultra-Simple)

- Hold Above 74000: Bullish bias, dip-buys preferred

- Break Below 71500: Bears dominate, cautious on chasing longs

- Break 76000 Without Pullback: Bull trend confirmed, can follow momentum

III. ETH Contract Key Levels

- Bull/Bear Divider: 2320

- Support 1: 2250

- Support 2: 2150

- Resistance 1: 2400

- Resistance 2: 2500+

Contract Signals

- ETH moves with BTC, but more elastic

- Don't stubbornly hold longs below 2250

- Breaking 2400 is safer for short-term longs

IV. Contract Critical Reminders (Survival Tips)

1. Rate Decision Days (3.18–3.19)

- Avoid heavy positions, naked exposure, high leverage

- Reduce size 1 hour before data release—avoid wick liquidations

2. Position Sizing Recommendations (Universal Safety Lines)

- Scalp: ≤10% position size

- Leverage: Spot traders ≤5x, Experienced ≤10–20x

- Always set stop loss per position, don't hold losses

3. Most Likely Script This Week

- Fed Neutral/Dovish → Rally then consolidation

- Fed Hawkish → Direct sharp selloff, then range-bound