Goldman Sachs: Lowers Three-Month and Six-Month Targets for Japan's Topix Index Due to Escalating Geopolitical Concerns

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Goldman Sachs has lowered its three-month target for the Tokyo Stock Exchange Index from 4,200 to 3,900 points and its six-month target from 4,400 to 4,100 points due to recent geopolitical concerns. The Goldman Sachs research team now assumes that oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz will decrease by 21 days, up from the previous assumption of 10 days. They have also raised their forecast for Brent crude oil prices, expecting it to reach $110 per barrel in March, $85 in April, and then fall back to $71 in the fourth quarter. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has downgraded its forecast for Japan’s real GDP growth in 2026 from 0.8% to 0.5%.

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