Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
TradFi
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Launchpad
Be early to the next big token project
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Not often that you see Bitcoin $BTC with 8+ consecutive green daily candles. This is only the 13th time. Historically, here's the avg price % return performance over the following timeframes:
30-days: +22.8%
90-days: +40.5%
6-months: +40.4%
1-year: +112%
Outcomes cluster into either strong continuation (8 of 12) or sharp reversal (4 of 12), with very little in between. The median 1-yr return of +54% tells a more sober story than the average, which is skewed by two generational outliers (May 2017: +512%, April 2020: +602%).
The 3 instances that produced negative 90-day and 1-year returns, Dec 2017, Jun 2019, and Mar 2022 shared a common profile
The signal fired either at or near ATHs with extreme extension above the 200-day moving average (Dec 2017 was +293% above) or during a structural bear market where the rally was ultimately a countertrend bounce (Mar 2022, pre-Luna/FTX). In both cases, elevated 30-day volatility (70–133% annualized) was a warning sign of overheated momentum rather than healthy accumulation.
Today's setup at $74.5K, ~40% below the $124.8K ATH, 22% below the 200d SMA, 51% annualized vol, and a modest 10% streak gain demonstrates that this is still in a "recovery accumulation" mode. Essentially, momentum is building but don't expect price to take off to $100k+ just yet either