March 4th Brief Summary and Contingency Plan

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1. Opening Market Information
Intercontinental Oil & Gas added to their bid with anchored energy, Shandong Molong mostly steady, but pre-market thoughts said there’s no sector that keeps rising, and the Three Big Oil companies also issued risk warnings. So, it’s best to wait patiently for a divergence to flow back. However, shortly after the open, the market quickly sold off in unison. Usually, the core doesn’t give opportunities, but now they did. Both Intercontinental and Molong can jump on the train.

Look at the pre-market thoughts: among the three boards, Shui Fa Gas was thought to have a very small chance of opening, but it was already on the board early in the morning, and it didn’t rebound as fast as Molong. There was an expectation of false signals at certain points, so the usual rule applies: those who rebound first win.
In the second-tier group, yesterday I temporarily defined oil and gas as a theme for copying, so the first divergence was at the front. Since the core stocks, Intercontinental and Molong, provided opportunities, there’s no need to look at turnover. It’s better to quickly jump on the front line. Whether it can break out is up to the market; we respond calmly in advance.
Honestly, today’s divergence in oil and gas exceeded expectations. The reason is that it concentrated in the past two days, and the sector has been exhausted. Yesterday’s review also mentioned that the first boards were all small players in oil and gas, none worth lingering on. Today, there was no second board, right? Capital consensus was already like this, so it’s no surprise!

2. Continuous Board Summary
From the perspective of capital and sentiment, we can initially identify opportunities and risks, and focus on preparing well before each trade.

Fourth-tier group:
Shui Fa Gas: Gas operation ahead of the main stocks, rebounded to Molong, then opened again in the afternoon. Low market consensus, needs improvement tomorrow, or it will truly be a false signal.
Yasheng Group: Agricultural hedging. As I said, whether the mine is significant doesn’t matter much. The agricultural sector responded somewhat, but historical experience shows that hitting high resistance is quite tough.

Third-tier group:
Intercontinental Oil & Gas: Didn’t hold in the afternoon, volume increase was the main factor.
Shandong Molong: Rebounded earliest in the sector, more stable than Intercontinental in the afternoon. Tomorrow needs another showdown; the winner waits for sector flow back.
Zhun Oil Co.: The only one with ST risk in the back row, I didn’t understand.

3. Trading Review
Mechanical execution, not subjective, quick and decisive as expected, aligned with the pattern—attack decisively, leave the rest to the market.

Holdings:
Yasheng Group: Not much profit, sold too early.
Runze Technology: Closed in red, unfollowed to prevent a potential oil & gas rebound.

Newly Followed:
Shandong Molong: As previously mentioned, respond early.

Recently, short-term trading has been quite difficult. Middle Eastern news is random; perhaps only quantitative methods can make big profits. Just look at Tongyuan Petroleum’s K-line for reference. Normal traders should return to normal routines. I simplified my trading approach, mainly guided by the volume model, sticking to a replicable method.

4. Tomorrow’s Plan
Market volume drops to 2.3 trillion, sentiment index drops sharply, expecting stabilization and rebound tomorrow.

In terms of themes, the oil and gas sector experienced explosive divergence. Tomorrow’s focus is on active sector flow back; without it, the move won’t go far. The high-voltage power grid responded to the $75 billion expansion news, performing well throughout the day; other news is not worth mentioning.

  1. Third-tier group: Shandong Molong vs. Intercontinental Oil & Gas, both requiring sector flow back—gas vs. oil & gas, large caps vs. small caps.
  2. First-tier group: Shun Na Co., the first power company; whether it ranks depends on you. Han Lan Co., with multiple recognitions, needs a main rise to lead.
  3. Keep an eye on Middle East news and night trading.

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Gambling on the Wind List:

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Join the Gold Powder Team, systematized! Using “one in, two out” as basic skills, sector chasing + flexible arbitrage are main patterns, following the capital energy recognition system, and deeply understanding individual stock auction guidance. The volume model combined with five-in-one trading rules helps you identify risks and opportunities ahead of others. What can it solve? Timing entries, certainty of entries, cost-effective buy/sell points, avoiding scams. There’s gold in the comments—your eyes need to be able to see beauty!

Thoughts:
Before the Two Sessions themes emerge, lower expectations—if you make a profit, take it and don’t be greedy. Nothing else really matters. If you have questions, feel free to ask!

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