0223 Bitcoin Daily Report#何时是最佳入场时机

Due to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs, new tensions have emerged. Trump announced an increase in global tariffs from 10% to 15%, leading to a sell-off in Bitcoin during Monday’s Asian trading session and exacerbating economic turbulence.

Macroeconomic uncertainty is suppressing risk assets, and the crypto market remains fragile. Market participants are hoping for support at $60,000; on the other hand, geopolitical tensions could cause this level to be tested again. From a technical perspective: currently, $65,000 is a key support level for Bitcoin. If this level is decisively broken, $60,000 could become the next target. To reverse the market trend, bulls need to push back above $70,000. Analysts point out that $65,000 is the lower boundary of the previous consolidation zone and is close to the 50-day moving average, making it an important short-term support. If this level is effectively broken, the first support below is at the $60,000 mark, which has historically been a zone of frequent consolidation and high trading volume. Conversely, if $60,000 is lost, the market could further retreat to around $55,000, and market sentiment may weaken significantly. However, from a medium- to long-term perspective, Bitcoin is still operating within an upward weekly channel. As long as it remains above $60,000, the medium-term bullish structure remains intact.

On-chain data shows that open interest in the futures market has decreased, leverage has cooled off, and risk hedging has increased significantly. Currently, the market is driven by macro factors, with policy statements and marginal changes in risk timing potentially dominating short-term movements. The ongoing tariff disputes and broader geopolitical tensions could lead to further volatility in risk assets, including Bitcoin. However, if policy uncertainties ease and capital flows back in, the high-level consolidation pattern may continue.