#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 I have a friend who invests; a few years ago, he entered the market with a few hundred thousand yuan, and now his assets have grown to tens of millions.



The most memorable moment was at a gathering, where he said something that enlightened me: "The crypto world is actually a psychological game. If you can control your emotions, this market will naturally become an ATM."

The market principles he summarized, and I have distilled into these 6 points:

**1. Rapid Rise, Gentle Fall = Someone is Eating Up**
This is a typical tactic of big funds. It looks like a decline, but the pace is slow, indicating someone is accumulating. Don’t be scared off at this point; instead, watch the rhythm.

**2. Sharp Drop Followed by Weak Rebound = The Big Players Are Exiting**
A sudden plunge followed by a soft rebound is a sign they are running away. Never try to bottom fish at this moment; be cautious of becoming the bagholder.

**3. Volume at the Top vs No Volume at the Top**
Continued rise with volume has potential; no volume means it’s time to withdraw. Volume is a mirror of direction—rises without trading volume are like a bow at its limit.

**4. Bottoms Require Persistence, Not Just One Surge**
A single large volume spike might be just a trap to shake out weak hands. True bottoms are formed through multiple surges, creating a consensus.

**5. The Market’s Essence Is Emotion, and Candlestick Charts Are Surface**
Candlestick patterns and technical indicators are superficial. What truly determines the trend is market psychology—whether a consensus has formed. Trading volume is the most direct reflection of this consensus.

**6. The Most Powerful Weapon Is "Nothing"**
No obsession, no greed, no fear. Those who can stay in cash during oscillations are the ones qualified to seize big opportunities.

Finally, I want to say: your real opponent in trading is always yourself. All the data fluctuations, negative news, and main force manipulations are just information streams. What truly affects your trading results is the fluctuation in your own mind.

The market is always there, and opportunities are always present. The key is whether you can stay steady.
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FlashLoanLarryvip
· 2h ago
nah the psychology angle hits different but honestly most people can't actually execute it lol... knowing ≠ doing, especially when your portfolio's down 40% and everyone's shitposting about it
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DaoResearchervip
· 3h ago
According to the volume consensus theory in the article, this framework actually has an incentive misalignment problem. The rhetoric of that gentleman with millions of assets seems impeccable, but from the perspective of Token Weighted Voting, market psychological games are essentially governance failures caused by information asymmetry — retail investors are always the multi-signature wallets voted out. Speaking of which, the fourth point about the continued volume at the bottom indeed aligns with on-chain data performance. It is worth noting that this consensus formation mechanism has been repeatedly proven to be fragile in highly decentralized environments. But the last sentence "the opponent is oneself" is truly heart-wrenching, with a strong self-PUA vibe.
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SmartContractPhobiavip
· 3h ago
That's right, controlling emotions is really the key. I'm just too greedy. Point six feels the most painful; waiting in cash is too difficult. Non-farm payroll data isn't really that important; the key is still the mindset. This guy definitely made money; I admire those who can hold on. Volume can't be fooled; I agree with that. Always staring at the candlestick charts until my eyes blur, I still get trapped.
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MetaverseHermitvip
· 3h ago
That's true, mindset determines everything. But how many can truly achieve it?
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SchrodingerGasvip
· 3h ago
This set of theories sounds impressive, but very few people can actually implement them. Especially the sixth point, it's easy to say but hard to do. Non-farm payroll data is so bad, and some people are still talking about emotional management? Laughs, the market's essence is a game-theoretic equilibrium, not some motivational pep talk. Volume indeed doesn't lie, but the problem is you're looking at on-chain data, not candlestick charts. This guy didn't account for the difference between spot and futures, feels like something's missing. To be honest, stories ranging from hundreds of thousands to tens of millions happen every month, but fewer can tell them. Keeping your savings alive and earning is no joke. These rules work on spot trading, but derivatives are a different story. Gas fees can break your bankroll, let alone emotions.
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GateUser-9f682d4cvip
· 3h ago
Exactly right, but the execution is extremely difficult.
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orphaned_blockvip
· 3h ago
Sounds nice, but when it comes to crashing the market, who can stay calm?
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GmGmNoGnvip
· 4h ago
You are absolutely right, it's just that I can't control my own heart. --- I noted the detail of multiple volume increases at the bottom; I was really trapped by a false breakout before. --- No obsession, no greed, no fear—sounds easy, but actually doing it is extremely difficult. --- When the non-farm payroll data exploded, I was the one who got scared and ran away. Looking back now, I lost a lot. --- That last sentence really hit home; the opponent is truly oneself. --- The tactic of rising sharply and then cooling off gradually, I saw through it during the Bitcoin wave. Next time, I need to stay calm. --- Holding a vacant position and waiting is much harder than rushing in; it tests your resolve. --- I’ve thought about the idea that candlesticks are just appearances for a long time, and I finally understand it.
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