#密码资产动态追踪 Want to make money, first understand how to lose.

Recently, I helped a buddy manage his account, starting with a principal of 2,000U, which grew to 38,000U in three months. There’s no secret weapon here—just one sentence: first figure out what the worst-case loss looks like, then think about how to make a profit.

Having seen all kinds of crash scenes, the death methods are pretty similar: before figuring out how to lose, people rush in desperately trying to win. It’s like driving blindfolded.

If you’re playing short-term contracts, how should you do it?

Don’t be greedy with 5x leverage; aiming for 6%-8% is very attractive, and always stick to a stop-loss at 3%. When the principal is small, use slightly higher leverage; even a 1% loss could mean going all-in. I often do short-term ETH trading myself—start with 10,000U, cut losses at 300U, and take profits at 600-800U. After two weeks, this often earns me 5,000U more than those dreaming of doubling a single trade.

What about mid-term spot trading—

If you want to catch a 40% swing, don’t be scared silly by a 5% pullback on the way. Place your stop-loss at the previous low or the 4-hour moving average at 60, and only consider exiting if it breaks. When it reaches 35%, take out half; for the remaining half, set a trailing stop. If it pulls back 8%, close everything.

Don’t dream of selling at the highest point—being able to sell in a high zone already puts you ahead of over 90% of traders.

Ultimately, position size is the life-or-death sign.

The same 12,000U split into four parts versus going all-in—these are two different worlds. One is a leisurely walk, the other is on the edge of a jump. Remember: heavy position without stop-loss is like removing the brakes on a high-speed ride.

My rule has never changed: stop-loss is not a cost, it’s your life-saving money; take-profit is not a target, it’s what the market grants you. Before each trade, ask yourself how much you can accept to lose, then consider how much this trade can make.

Market opportunities are always there; what’s truly lacking is the principal remaining when the next wave arrives.