2026-01-07 08:40:42

#2026年比特币价格展望 Looking back at past K-line charts, you can always find some interesting patterns. During the New Year's days, the market is often hyped up, but the result is usually that the long positions get trapped; as the New Year approaches, institutions and big players start to pull back, and risk assets generally retreat. At this time, spot holders have to ride the decline. But surprisingly, after the Spring Festival holiday, the rebound comes—funds flow back in, and those who were short start to cut losses. This wave of rally is often more vigorous than expected.

$BTC The trends over the past few years have basically followed this pattern. The market's money is limited, and the tug-of-war between risk aversion and greed is always replayed. Traders who understand this rhythm can time it very accurately, while those who don't are easily caught up in emotional swings. Will 2026 continue this pattern? Based on historical probabilities, it's quite likely. The key still depends on whether the macro environment will break this cycle—but based on the performance of the past few years, the Spring Festival market remains a time window worth paying close attention to.

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PoolJumper

· 01-07 09:10

The Spring Festival market is really amazing, always played this way every year. But this year, the macro environment is a bit chaotic. Is it still safe to bet on this strategy?

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ForeverBuyingDips

· 01-07 09:08

Copying so many year-end positions, this wave of the Spring Festival really hasn't missed much --- Longs caught in the New Year's Day trap, it's the same script every year, truly incredible --- The key is whether there are macroeconomic variables, otherwise the Spring Festival market is pretty predictable --- Sounds easy, but when the time comes, it's easy to get chaotic; emotional damage is the greatest --- Spot buyers in winter are suffering, just waiting for the Spring Festival momentum to come back --- People who understand the rhythm can really make money, I just don't understand, so I got cut --- I still believe in this routine for 2026, just worried about a black swan disrupting it --- Before New Year's Eve, you can't outrun the institutions' footsteps; you have to learn to lie flat --- The Spring Festival rebound, history has played out this way, I believe in probability theory

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GweiWatcher

· 01-07 09:06

The story of long positions getting trapped on New Year's Day really happens year after year, and someone always falls into the trap. The logic of reducing positions before the Spring Festival, I think, can continue for a few more years. History repeating itself is really annoying, but making money depends on it. Wait, what if the macro environment changes? Wouldn't this strategy become invalid? This rebound during the New Year is indeed fierce, much more intense than expected.

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ShadowStaker

· 01-07 08:48

yeah so basically you're just pattern-matching the lunar calendar against market structure... which fair, liquidity does thin out around cny. but here's the thing—treating it like some ironclad cycle feels kinda dangerous when macro can flip the whole board ngl. institutional risk-off doesn't always rhyme just cuz the calendar says so.

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WalletAnxietyPatient

· 01-07 08:45

Spring Festival market trends definitely need to be closely watched; it's been the same way in previous years. It's the old routine of long positions before New Year's Day, tightening up during the holiday, and a rebound during the Spring Festival. Will it happen again this time? That's right, understanding the rhythm helps make money; those who don't just fumble around. Institutions do the same thing every year. I've learned to blame only myself for reacting slowly. Stopping during the Spring Festival window, it feels like there might be some macroeconomic changes this year. Rules are meant to be broken, but the ones who profit are still those who have long since figured it out. These few days during the New Year are really tough; spot markets have to hold on tightly. The historical probability is high, but who dares to say for sure?

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