In the highly competitive jungle of the crypto world, surviving requires understanding a set of counterintuitive survival logic. Many people suffer losses not because they are not smart, but because they are fooled by the market’s surface appearances.

First, let's talk about the规律 of the time dimension. If the domestic market continues to decline during the day, it is often a good opportunity to bottom out—wait until 21:30 in the evening when overseas funds enter the market, and the trend often reverses. Conversely, if there is a sharp rise during the day, do not chase the high; it is highly likely to pull back in the evening. This is not a coincidence; behind it is the rhythm of capital flow at play.

Next, look at technical signals. The depth of the needle insertion can reflect the strength of buying and selling. The deeper the insertion, the more intense the battle between bulls and bears, and the clearer the real signal. But this requires enough patience to observe, rather than blindly following the trend.

The消息面 is even the deepest套路. Before major meetings or positive announcements, prices often preemptively rise, and when the news actually lands, a correction is likely to follow. Those comments in the community that hype up a project excessively? Most of the time, they are risk signals, so think in the opposite direction. If a certain coin’s popularity suddenly surges, consider shorting.

The most heartbreaking aspect is仓位管理. When you hold a heavy position, the risk of liquidation is not just a numerical possibility—exchanges’ risk control systems are already monitoring you. If your short position’s stop loss is triggered and the market starts to decline? That’s not luck; the big players are just trying to shake out retail investors first. When you’re close to being break-even, a sudden halt to the rebound is the same套路—aiming to make you despair.

And the most ironic moment is when you exit the market. Once you take profits and leave, the market begins to rally; when you’re excited about your account’s gains, a sharp drop often follows. Retail investors’ emotions are themselves tools of manipulation. When you are broke, various projects collectively rise—this is to induce your FOMO.

The reality is that over 80% of the market movements in the crypto space show signs of人为操纵. To survive, the first rule is to strictly control your仓位; the second is to develop a habit of后发制人—before understanding the庄家的逻辑, never move. Otherwise, you will only serve as a角色被收割. Trading has never tested luck, but patience, resolve, and timing.