In the past few years in the crypto world, I gradually realized a very painful phenomenon: many people's failures are not due to lack of effort, but because they started off on the wrong path.

The most common mistake for beginners is one—thinking that studying and researching more can reduce losses. Spending every day monitoring market trends, following KOLs, analyzing technical indicators like EMA, RSI, MACD, funding rates, market sentiment... the system becomes more and more complex, but your wallet gets emptier and emptier.

You think you're progressing, but you're actually just using complexity to cover up your lack of discipline.

Today chasing AI concepts, tomorrow riding the MEME hype, the day after listening to so-called insider news. Switching five coins and three systems in a week, claiming "optimizing strategies for zero mistakes," but in reality, it's "I don't want to admit I'm wrong, so I keep changing targets." The mistakes are spread out evenly, making it seem less painful, but the result is being cut for chives.

It took me years to realize a fact: **90% of retail investors don't lose because of the trading direction, but because they have too many choices.**

So I cut my strategies to the extreme, leaving only one model: single coin + long/short + swing cycle. It sounds stupid, but this stupidity is what kept me alive.

**How to operate specifically?**

**Step 1: Lock in one coin**

Either BTC or ETH, just choose one. Don't chase hot topics, don't be an emotional chive. You don't have an information advantage; your only trump card is focus. Watch one coin for three months—you'll understand its temperament better than 99% of people, knowing when to move and when to rest. Gradually, you'll start to feel it.

**Step 2: Only follow the trend**

Go long when it rises, go short when it falls. No bottom fishing, no betting on reversals, no guessing tops. The market is the boss, you are the worker. If the boss gives you work, do it; if not, wait. No need to understand the trend deeply, just follow it.

**Step 3: Layered position building**

Trial positions are like buying tickets, getting information. Confirm the trend before adding positions. When the trend is clear, enlarge your position for big gains; if wrong, cut losses immediately. Structure is the key to life and death; win rate isn't really important.

**Why do most people find it hard to learn this method? Because it's too boring.** More time spent in cash, accepting every failure, giving up the dream of overnight riches. The real competition in the crypto world isn't about who is the smartest, but about who can eliminate themselves by losing control.

When you're willing to leave the complexity to the market and keep things simple for yourself, you truly become a survivor.