2026-01-07 08:21:29

Last April's market rally, when BTC dropped to 74,000, ETH underwent a fierce sell-off before rebounding—dropping straight down to 1,400. At that time, 99% of retail investors were already desperate, but it was not a real crash; it was just a washout tactic by the big players. After the sell-off, ETH surged all the way to 5,000, and those who held on made a fortune.

The current trend of altcoins is very similar to ETH back in the day. Bitcoin is oscillating between 80,000 and 90,000, ETH has fallen back to 2,500-3,500, and altcoins are even more direct—they have returned to the price levels of the last bear market. Many people are starting to panic. Once deep into a bear market, altcoins might break below the previous lows, and at that point, a bunch of air projects will truly lose all their value.

But the key issue is that this kind of sharp decline is exactly the same as ETH's situation last year. The only difference is the outcome: either only BTC remains viable, or those genuine public chain projects and blockchain applications will turn around. The crucial factor is to wait and see how the next three months unfold.

BTC-2.04%

ETH-3.26%

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MindsetExpander

· 1h ago

Haha, I personally saw someone cut their losses during the 1400 wave, and they are still regretting it now. The true test will be in three months, let's wait and see. Altcoins have indeed been ruthless this time, but dead air projects are just dead, the real ones will survive. Currently, those panicking haven't understood the tactics of the whales; the washout methods are just like this. Just hold on, don't be scared out. Those who make money are always the ones who can endure. It feels like this wave is repeating history, the logic is the same. When altcoins are smashed to this price, it might actually be an opportunity.

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TokenSleuth

· 01-07 08:51

That's true, but I think this time is different. The recent plunge in altcoins was really brutal, with too many projects dying off. Revisiting last year again? The market isn't that predictable. Waiting three months? Better to seize the opportunity now and buy genuine projects at the bottom. Will those who held on last year be able to hold on this year? That's the real question. Market makers shaking out? Or is it really going to cause casualties? Who knows. ETH went from 1400 to 5000, can altcoins replicate that? I think it's unlikely.

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Ramen_Until_Rich

· 01-07 08:51

Washout vs. genuine decline, I really can't tell the difference this time. Let's wait and see. --- I didn't get in during the 1400 wave, and now I'm hesitating again. I'm really bad at this. --- It's not a bad thing for altcoins to return to bear market prices. The sieve has come out. --- Three months? I can't wait three days, I'm cutting losses and leaving haha. --- Projects that are truly working have already exited, what's left is all noise. --- Isn't it just betting on the next three months? Whether to gamble or not, I wonder who dares. --- Last year, those who dared to buy at 1400 are now truly sitting back and winning, but what about this year?

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Hash_Bandit

· 01-07 08:50

ngl, been through enough cycles to know this washout feeling... eth to 1400 was *chef's kiss* timing if you had the stomach for it. the pattern recognition here is legit though—three months gonna be absolutely make-or-break for which alts actually have network effects vs which ones are just... air.

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CodeSmellHunter

· 01-07 08:35

Bro, I only half believe this shakeout, who knows That line last year really made people despair, but now hearing the same old tricks, I’m a bit hesitant Betting on a turnaround in three months? It’s more stable to bet on BTC taking off alone Altcoins are really struggling right now, let’s wait until projects with real products come along

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