#密码资产动态追踪 12 Survival Rules in the Crypto Market: Trading Logic Through the Fog

After years of navigating the crypto space, you'll realize this market is like an invisible game of chess. The information gap, time lag, and psychological differences between retail investors and institutions are all amplified. To survive, you need to understand the underlying logic of market operation — it's not some profound mystery, just 12 rules validated by countless blood, sweat, and tears.

**Market Rhythm and Capital Flow**

Continuous decline during the daytime? Don't rush to cut your losses. Usually around 9:30 PM, overseas funds start to take over, often signaling a rebound opportunity. Conversely, when prices surge aggressively during the day, avoid chasing — by evening, the probability of a pullback is alarmingly high.

Understanding the needle insertion signal is crucial. The deeper the needle, the more resolute the defense at the bottom or the more intense the selling pressure at the top. The amplitude of the needle itself is a direct reflection of the strength comparison between bulls and bears.

**Information and Expectation Gaps**

Before major meetings or policy favorable news are announced, the market often reacts in advance, trending upward. But once the news is actually released and fulfilled, a correction often follows. This is expectation trading — buy on anticipation, sell on reality. This rule has been consistent throughout history and across markets.

If a project in the community is hyped to the sky and members are excited, it’s often a trap. Psychologically, this is called herd mentality; in crypto, it’s called a harvest of retail investors. If the discussion about a certain coin suddenly explodes in popularity, think twice — it’s worth being cautious.

Conversely, if you’re initially uninterested in a project recommended to you, there might be an opportunity — often those unnoticed ones are the last to surge rapidly.

**Positioning and Risk**

Holding a heavy position is suicidal. Exchanges aren’t stupid; your large holdings are already monitored for liquidation risk. How many liquidations happen just when the price is close to your target? It’s no coincidence — it’s a standard liquidity hunting tactic.

When a stop-loss on a short position is triggered, the market immediately starts to plunge — the big players first shake you out, then initiate the decline. To unwind a position, just a little more and they reverse the trend — deliberately preventing you from closing your position. Once you’re euphoric and take profit, the market immediately starts to rally — they want to shake out retail investors and push prices higher with a light load.

**Psychology and Timing**

When you get excited about profits or start to get a bit cocky, a sharp drop often follows. Your emotional state is a tool for the opposing side. When your wallet is empty and you have no funds to enter, various projects collectively rise — this is the final temptation of FOMO.

**Core Logic**

Market manipulation is widespread in crypto; data shows over 80% of trends are accompanied by obvious signs of big players. The key to survival boils down to two points: strictly control your position size — this is a hard discipline, non-negotiable; and stick to a proactive approach — if you don’t understand the intentions of the big players, don’t enter the market, or you’ll be a lamb waiting to be slaughtered.

Trading is fundamentally not about luck but about how deep your patience is, how strong your resolve is, and how thoroughly you understand timing. Master these rules, and you'll be able to navigate the next market trend more steadily.