Federal Reserve Rate Storm! 87% Super High Probability of Holding Steady, Is the Market's Last Defense Under Threat?



The January Federal Reserve rate decision reveals a super signal—87% chance of keeping rates unchanged, far exceeding the previous CME forecast of 81.7%! The market's rate cut fantasies are being shattered by cold data, and liquidity tightening alarms may ring again.

Latest developments:
Expectations for rate cuts in January have plummeted to less than 13%, with a comprehensive hawkish stance;
The probability of cumulative rate cuts in March has also shrunk, making a "higher for longer" rate policy seem inevitable;
Market liquidity is facing a "high-pressure test," and a new storm in risk assets is brewing.
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