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Recently, the internal voices within the Federal Reserve have become increasingly inconsistent. Fed Governor Steve Mullan's latest statement hints that policy disagreements are intensifying—one faction insists on a cautious stance, while the other is eager to push forward with rate cuts. This internal division actually signals that by 2026, there could be a rate cut of over 100 basis points.
The key turning point is this week. The ADP employment report and non-farm payroll data are like a key, determining the market direction moving forward. If the data shows strong performance, expectations for rate cuts may be delayed, leading to increased short-term market volatility; conversely, if employment data signals weakness, expectations for rate cuts will be brought forward, which for assets like BTC with monetary attributes, signals a structural bull market.
From a trading perspective, two directions need to be closely monitored: first, keep a close eye on this week's employment data and avoid being scared out by short-term shakeouts; second, adjust positions flexibly based on data signals—if rate cut expectations are confirmed, consider increasing positions in mainstream cryptocurrencies; if expectations are delayed, hedge risks using highly liquid derivative tools.
In simple terms, the policy disagreements within the Federal Reserve and the key data in the coming days are very likely to be the watershed that shifts the crypto market from consolidation to upward movement. What are your thoughts on this wave of market?