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When you see messages like "Interest rate cut, go all in," I have to ask honestly: Can you really benefit from the Fed's cheap money?
Interest rate cuts? The market has already digested this news. At the end of last year, when the Fed implemented a rate cut, Bitcoin actually fell by 2.8%, and Ethereum dropped by 3.6%. That’s ridiculous. What the market truly cares about isn’t just "expectations," but things that can surpass expectations.
Frankly, each 25 basis point rate cut is too small. It can't even curb inflation, let alone trigger a bull market with such a small move. It’s impossible. What really moves the market are hard data like CPI and employment figures. Rate cuts are just icing on the cake; they are not life-saving.
Interestingly, the attitude of institutions and retail investors is completely opposite. Retail investors see positive news and go all in, while institutions are calmly managing positions and hedging risks. Some top platforms have clearly stated that doubling markets are a thing of the past; the market has entered an institutionalized era.
So, the rate cut is actually a touchstone, revealing who is swimming naked. Until inflation truly stabilizes, any easing policy is just talk on paper.
Regarding the upcoming market, those old clichés like "the four-year halving cycle" and "a bull market is inevitable" should give way. The consensus among over 30 top institutions is that: the crypto market is becoming industrialized, and the entire gameplay has changed.
The cycle model has already failed. Leading industry institutions point out that the narrative power of halving is waning; what truly drives the market now are ETF capital flows and macro liquidity trends. In the future, Bitcoin’s volatility might be even lower than Nvidia’s, and its movements could become relatively "boring."
And where is the money flowing? The stablecoin market is the real hardcore scenario. By 2025, stablecoin trading volume will reach $9 trillion, a scale that already rivals heavyweight products in traditional finance.