BTC trend almost exactly replicates the one from October 2019. This range (87,000-92,000) has been consolidating for too long, with too high a concentration of positions, making the market's continuation extremely weak.

From a structural perspective, it seems like the market is about to break out, but in reality, major funds are brewing a deep shakeout. Before leaving this range, there will definitely be another move to harvest retail investors.

Key judgment: If the market suddenly surges to around 94,300, it doesn't necessarily mean a true breakout. Unless the price first tests the support at 84,300 downward, any volume increase upward will be regarded as a trap to induce short positions.

My logic is straightforward—before a real bull market starts, the main players must go down to sweep the liquidity below. This process can be quite risky, but without taking this step, it's hard for the market to develop a big pattern. Believe it or not, this judgment is here, and how it unfolds later depends on the market.