Prediction market arbitrage secrets exposed: How can ordinary users become 12 times richer?

robot
Abstract generation in progress

【Crypto World】Polymarket has staged a remarkable arbitrage myth. A trader turned $33,000 into over $400,000, with the core strategy of betting all chips on predictions related to Venezuela.

What’s the key? This guy completely ignored popular sectors like sports and cryptocurrencies, and all four precise bets were concentrated in the geopolitical arena. On-chain data tracking platforms openly stated: this approach clearly exceeds normal judgment ranges, making it hard not to suspect that some non-public information is being exploited.

Some analysis teams even concluded that this user might be a figure within the “geopolitical insider circle.” To be honest, this isn’t the first time Polymarket has been entangled in such suspicions. During last year’s US elections, this prediction market platform was also scrutinized by regulators for similar suspicious trades.

The appeal of prediction markets lies in democratic information pricing, but when such mechanisms are exploited abnormally, compliance issues inevitably come to the surface.

View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
PumpDetectorvip
· 01-05 09:49
nah this reeks of insider flow tbh... 3.3k to 400k on venezuela plays? that's not luck, that's reading between the lines before the masses catch wind. seen this pattern before, institutional smart money sniffing out geopolitical moves way too cleanly. regulators gonna regulators but prediction markets are already priced in chaos, nothing new here really
Reply0
GasOptimizervip
· 01-05 09:46
3.3万到40多万,12倍收益?这数据有点离谱啊,我得先看链上证据再说
Reply0
NFTFreezervip
· 01-05 09:44
Another one of these stories. Who wouldn't want to get rich 12 times over, but why don't I have that luck? Insider trading or pure luck? Regulators should step in now. Places like Polymarket are too shady; ordinary people can't afford to play. The key is how accurate it is. I could lose even if I bet 5 bucks. Is it real? Insider information, right? The odds don't seem scientific. Prediction markets are just gambling with a different name. No 400,000 yet, first got flagged by the tax bureau haha. If this guy didn't have connections, I'd be washing my hair upside down. Crypto stories are always so fantastical. Who profits and who loses this year is still uncertain.
View OriginalReply0
FOMOSapienvip
· 01-05 09:42
Bro, this return rate is a bit outrageous, 12x? I just want to know how he did it. --- Prediction markets are like this now; information gaps are money gaps. How many players are really making money just by luck? --- 40K sounds great, but I bet ten bucks he knows something others don’t. --- Things like Polymarket will eventually have issues; regulation is the real test. --- By the way, do you really believe this is pure analysis? I don’t buy it anyway. --- The guy who predicted the Venezuela thing so accurately is quite intriguing. --- I envy the 12x, but I still have my doubts. --- Eventually, they’ll get investigated. This kind of arbitrage opportunity is doomed to be short-lived.
View OriginalReply0
ETHReserveBankvip
· 01-05 09:42
12x to get rich? Bro, this odds don't seem right. Was the Venezuela thing really a correct bet or did they know in advance?
View OriginalReply0
NeverVoteOnDAOvip
· 01-05 09:34
How can a 12x return be so outrageous? I don't believe it unless there's insider information.
View OriginalReply0
StillBuyingTheDipvip
· 01-05 09:33
Getting rich 12 times over is just unbelievable; it must be something we don't know. Even if you make the right moves, you need to think about how to stand out, because the SEC is watching closely. Prediction markets are inherently information games; those with insider knowledge always win. If this guy really made his money through analysis, I would directly bow to him. Be honest with me, do you believe he has no insider information? Anyway, I don't believe it.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)