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This week's market may be heavily disrupted by macroeconomic data. Several heavyweight members of the Federal Reserve will make appearances, coupled with the release of key employment data, creating a combined impact on the market that should not be underestimated.
At 01:30 on Monday morning, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (FOMC voter in 2026) will speak at the American Economic Association meeting, signaling the start.
On Tuesday evening at 21:00, Richmond Fed President Barkin (FOMC voter in 2027) will also speak, and those paying attention to economic outlooks will certainly be listening closely.
The real test comes from the data bombings during the week and weekend—
The December ADP employment data released at 21:15 on Wednesday is the most anticipated. The previous value was -32,000 jobs; this forecast is expected to jump to 45,000 jobs. If the data improves, how will the market react?
On Thursday at 21:30, initial jobless claims will be released, with the previous figure at 199,000 and a forecast of 216,000. This seemingly dull number can reflect the temperature of the labor market.
Friday is the main event. At the same time, 21:30, the US December unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls will be announced simultaneously—unemployment rate expected to drop from 4.60% to 4.50%, and non-farm employment to rebound sharply from -105,000 to 55,000. If these numbers confirm economic resilience, will the dollar strengthen? How will Bitcoin respond?
At 23:00 on Friday night, Kashkari will also deliver a welcome speech and participate in informal discussions at an online conference, where market-moving snippets are often found.
In the early hours of Saturday at 02:35, Barkin will speak again on economic outlook. This week, the Fed's voice has not stopped.
Market conditions change rapidly; this week's data and speeches will be crucial in determining the future direction. While paying attention to these indicators, don't forget the deep impact of the Fed's stance on global asset allocation.