2026-01-05 08:25:11

History repeats itself. After reviewing the US military actions against Iran, the crypto market subsequently rebounded. Now, the US's moves against Venezuela have also prompted my thoughts—this time, it might really be the end. The probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 is very low, and bottom signals have already been released. Geopolitical risks often accelerate market panic selling, but it is precisely during these extreme moments that long-term investors see buying opportunities. From a historical perspective, similar conflict events usually signal a critical point in market sentiment. This time should be no exception.

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OffchainWinner

· 9h ago

It's bottoming out now. The current panic is an opportunity, and history really keeps repeating itself.

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MoonBoi42

· 01-05 16:21

Bottoms out, time to start bottom fishing again --- Geopolitical antics are actually a buy signal. How many times has this trick been played? --- 90,000 can't be broken, I bet it won't this round --- History repeats itself. Bottom fishers should start taking action --- Extreme moments are perfect for strategic positioning. Let's see if it can be validated --- That wave in Iran indeed rebounded. This time Venezuela should be about the same --- Honestly, geopolitical risks are the best at revealing true chip distribution --- Bottom signal? Signals are everywhere, who knows what's real or fake --- The spring for long-term investors has arrived, short-term traders should hide now

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DaoGovernanceOfficer

· 01-05 08:55

ngl, the data on geopolitical shocks predicting market bottoms is way messier than this framing suggests. empirically speaking, correlation ≠ causation here... but sure, iran-venezuela parallels make for a neat narrative i guess

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Fren_Not_Food

· 01-05 08:54

History repeating itself is truly amazing. Every time there’s a geopolitical upheaval, the price rebounds. This time probably no different. --- Bottom signal release? Why do I feel like I hear this every time? --- Is it true that 90,000 can’t be broken? I remember saying the same thing last time, haha. --- Entering during extreme moments indeed makes money, but the prerequisite is to survive until that moment. --- No, if that logic could be derived, no one would be bottom-fishing and losing money. --- Iran’s rebound was indeed significant, but is Venezuela’s situation the same? --- Calm analysis and gambler’s mentality are just a matter of mindset. Everyone is just gambling.

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TheShibaWhisperer

· 01-05 08:47

The idea of historical patterns has been heard quite a bit, but this time the geopolitical situation indeed feels a bit different. --- Bottom signal? No matter how I look at it, I don't think we've hit the bottom yet. Is your prediction reliable, bro? --- It's always said that there's a buying opportunity at extreme moments, but every time there's a sharp decline, someone says the same... and then what? --- I just want to ask, why is the $90,000 level so special? How did it come about? --- Are long-term investors really waiting for this opportunity, or are they all just cutting losses... --- How much did Iran's recent surge amount to? Are there any data? Don't just say history will repeat itself. --- Does Venezuela have any direct relation to crypto? Feels like a bit of a hard connection. --- Honestly, is it still about betting on whether geopolitics will escalate? --- Conflicts equal bottom signals? How does the logic just jump over that?

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ForeverBuyingDips

· 01-05 08:44

History indeed has cycles, but will this time be the wolf coming again? Bottom signals have been heard too many times; the key is whether you can withstand the subsequent fluctuations. Geopolitical risks + institutional accumulation, indeed, is a good opportunity, but it depends on whether retail investors can survive until that day. Is $90,000 really the bottom? It seems more about the Fed's stance. The mindset of bottom-fishing is correct, but the timing is the hardest to grasp... I've already been caught twice. This wave does seem like a bottom signal, but I'm still waiting; I want it to drop a bit more for peace of mind. Both historical patterns and critical points sound convincing, but I still believe technical analysis is more straightforward. Will the Venezuela issue really trigger a chain reaction? It feels like the public opinion heat will fade once it's over.

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GasGoblin

· 01-05 08:39

Historical patterns can be really accurate sometimes. The last time Iran experienced a surge, we saw a clear rebound; this time, it feels similar. --- Honestly, hearing about bottom signals all the time is common, but what really matters is having the bullets. --- When geopolitical tensions escalate, people do get anxious, but isn't this the best time to build positions at low levels? --- Breaking 90,000? I don't think so, but the fact that the bottom has arrived is definitely true. --- Talking about history repeating itself again... Every time it's said like this, but is this time the real deal? --- Extreme moments are opportunities, there's no doubt about that. The question is, do you dare to go all in? --- Conflict events = buying opportunities, I've heard it all before. The key is when you decide to act.

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SatoshiHeir

· 01-05 08:32

It should be pointed out that your "history repetition" argumentation logic is no match for on-chain data. The market reaction mechanisms of the Iran incident and the Venezuela situation are completely different, and making a hasty analogy is a typical survivor bias. Laughs, another "bottom signal has been released." This is always shouted at every bottom, wake up everyone. According to the fundamental thinking of the white paper, Bitcoin's value consensus has never depended on geopolitics—it's just a narrative tool for speculators. True long-term holders have long understood this. The probability of dropping below 90,000 is very small? Your odds are set too loosely. Let's use a mathematical model to look at historical volatility... But on the other hand, this kind of panic moment does have a poetic beauty—market tears watering the garden of true believers.

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