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In early 2026, the prediction market platform Opinion encountered an issue when settling markets related to MetaMask. Events that should have been settled as No were mistakenly marked as Yes, resulting in settlement errors.
The platform later responded that this was a malfunction in the AI oracle during the "information source indexing" phase. Simply put, the AI experienced biases when retrieving and processing data sources, ultimately leading to incorrect prediction results. This incident also exposed the current prediction market platforms' high dependence on AI oracles, but with immature risk control mechanisms. Similar technical failures serve as a reminder to participants that greater caution is needed when using such platforms.