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Possible Short-Term Trends for Bitcoin
Bitcoin has now rebounded to 93,000, reaching the midline of the channel in the chart. With about 10 days remaining until the 15th, there are two possible scenarios for Bitcoin's movement within these 10 days:
Optimistic Scenario: It effectively breaks through the channel midline within the next couple of days and rebounds around the 15th to near the annual moving average. If MSTR is excluded on the 15th, Bitcoin will turn downward, dropping below 80,000. If not excluded, Bitcoin will continue to rebound upward.
Pessimistic Scenario: Before January 15th, it oscillates near the channel midline and fails to break through the high point on December 9th. If MSTR is excluded on the 15th, Bitcoin will turn downward, dropping below 80,000. If not excluded, it will continue to rebound, with the highest rebound near the annual moving average.
MSTR will open today evening. The next development mainly depends on MSTR's trend. If MSTR confirms a rebound, the optimistic scenario will likely occur. If MSTR continues to decline, the probability of the pessimistic scenario increases.
Currently, MSTR has shown a daily RSI divergence at the bottom, indicating a relatively higher chance of a short-term rebound; additionally, Bitcoin is steadily rebounding along the 5-day moving average, so the likelihood of the optimistic scenario is relatively greater. #比特币2026价格预测